Estudiantes La Plata Reserves - Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction 7 May 2026

The Newells Old Boys Reserves vs Estudiantes La Plata Reserves prediction looks at the Liga Profesional Reserves match on May 07, 2026, at 18:00. Based on recent performances, league standings, and head-to-head data, Newells Old Boys Reserves enter the match as favorites, holding a 50% win probability, while Estudiantes La Plata Reserves have a 25% chance and a draw is also rated at 25%.

Team Form

Newells Old Boys Reserves have shown mixed results in their last five outings (D, D, W, L, W). They recorded away draws against Velez Sarsfield Reserves (1-1) and Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves (2-2), suffered a 0-1 defeat at Independiente Reserve, but secured two emphatic home wins: 3-1 over Boca Juniors Reserves and 3-0 against At Rafaela Reserve. At home, they boast a perfect record in their recent games, scoring freely and conceding just once in those three.

Estudiantes La Plata Reserves are in sparkling form with four wins from their last five (W, W, L, W, W). They beat Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves 3-2, demolished San Martin de San Juan Reserves 4-0 away, edged Deportivo Riestra Reserves 2-1, and defeated CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve 3-1. Their only slip was a 0-1 home loss to Independiente Rivadavia Reserves. This run underlines their attacking threat, although the majority of those wins came at home.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between these sides have seen two wins for Newells Old Boys Reserves and one for Estudiantes La Plata Reserves. No draws have been recorded. The most recent encounter on May 07, 2026, saw Newells Old Boys Reserves win 2-0 away. Earlier, on September 16, 2025, Newells triumphed 2-0 at home, while Estudiantes claimed a 3-0 home victory on April 15, 2025. The head-to-head record suggests a slight advantage for the home side in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga Profesional Reserves standings, Newells Old Boys Reserves sit in 5th place with 34 points from 18 matches (10 wins, 4 draws, 4 defeats, 26 goals scored, 16 conceded). Estudiantes La Plata Reserves are outside the top 12, indicating a lower league position. At home, Newells rank an impressive 2nd, with 8 wins, 0 draws, and just 1 loss from 9 games, scoring 16 and allowing only 5. The away table does not feature Estudiantes in the top 8, hinting at a weaker traveling record. This home/away split gives Newells a clear statistical edge.

Win Probability: Newells Old Boys Reserves or Estudiantes La Plata Reserves?

Calculating the chances, Newells Old Boys Reserves hold a 50% probability of winning the match. The draw is rated at 25%, and Estudiantes La Plata Reserves are given a 25% chance. This assessment is based on Newells' formidable home form (8 wins from 9, only one loss), their top-5 overall standing, and a head-to-head record that favors them, balanced against Estudiantes' strong recent results (four wins in five). However, Estudiantes' unproven away form and lower league position reduce their likelihood of an outright victory. Overall, Newells Old Boys Reserves are more likely to secure three points, but a close contest is expected.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this fixture are not available in the current data, but bookmakers would likely install Newells Old Boys Reserves as favorites given their high home ranking and overall league superiority. Based on the stats, the prediction leans towards a home win, though the visitors' recent goal-scoring form cannot be ignored. A 1-0 or 2-1 victory for Newells Old Boys Reserves appears the most realistic outcome, with the probability of both teams scoring also a possible angle for betting tips.