CA Huracan Reserves - Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction 16 July 2026

The Newells Old Boys Reserves vs CA Huracan Reserves prediction for July 16, 2026, points to a tight Liga Profesional Reserves contest where the home side holds a slight edge. Based on our win probability analysis, Newells Old Boys Reserves have a 40% chance of winning, a draw sits at 30%, and CA Huracan Reserves have a 30% chance. The match kicks off at 18:00 at Newells' home ground.

Team Form

Newells Old Boys Reserves come into this match with mixed recent results but a formidable home record. Their last five matches: a 1-1 draw at Velez Sarsfield Reserves, a 2-2 draw at Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves, a 3-1 home win over Boca Juniors Reserves, a 0-1 loss at Independiente Reserve, and a 3-0 home win against At Rafaela Reserve. At home, they have won both of their last two, scoring six goals and conceding just one.

CA Huracan Reserves have struggled for consistency, with only one win in their last five outings. Their form reads: a 1-1 home draw with Defensa y Justicia Reserves, a 0-1 away loss to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Reserve, a 1-3 away loss to Colon de Santa Fe Reserves, a 2-0 home win over Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves, and a 0-1 away loss at Boca Juniors Reserves. Away from home, they have lost three of their last four, failing to score in two of those defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours CA Huracan Reserves. In three previous meetings, Huracan have won twice and drawn once. The most recent clash on February 3, 2026, saw Huracan thrash Newells 4-1 at this very venue. Earlier, on October 23, 2025, the teams drew 1-1 at Huracan, and on May 20, 2025, Huracan won 2-1 away. Newells have yet to beat Huracan, conceding seven goals in three matches.

League Table Positions

Newells Old Boys Reserves sit 5th in the overall Liga Profesional Reserves table with 34 points from 18 games (10 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). Their home form is outstanding: 2nd in the home standings with 8 wins and 1 loss from 9 matches, scoring 16 and conceding only 5. CA Huracan Reserves are outside the top 12 overall and do not feature in the top 8 of the away table, indicating a weaker campaign. The league positions clearly favour the home side.

Win Probability: Newells Old Boys Reserves or CA Huracan Reserves?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Newells Old Boys Reserves 40%, draw 30%, CA Huracan Reserves 30%. This assessment starts from the bookmaker odds (home win 2.15–2.50, draw 2.00–2.82, away win 2.43–3.60). After removing the margin, the raw implied probabilities give a near three-way split. We then adjust for Newells' dominant home record (8-0-1) and higher league position, which lifts their chances. However, the head-to-head record – two Huracan away wins in two visits – prevents us from making the home side a clear favourite. The result is a finely balanced match where Newells have a marginal edge, but a draw or away win are very realistic outcomes.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a range of odds for this fixture. The best home win price is around 2.15, the draw as low as 2.00, and the away win up to 3.60. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the game, with the draw being the shortest price at some sportsbooks. Our prediction: based on the stats, Newells Old Boys Reserves are the most likely winners, but the head-to-head record and Huracan's ability to perform in this fixture mean a draw or away win cannot be ruled out. A cautious bet would be on the home side, but the value may lie in the draw market given the history between these two reserve teams.