Newcastle Jets Women - Wellington Phoenix Women prediction 1 February 2026

When Newcastle Jets Women host Wellington Phoenix Women in the A-League Women on Feb 01, 2026, the visitors are the clear favourites. Our Newcastle Jets Women vs Wellington Phoenix Women prediction gives Wellington a 55% chance to win, while Newcastle sit at just 20% with a 25% probability of a draw.

Team Form

Newcastle Jets Women have been inconsistent, recording L-W-L-W-L in their last five matches. They beat Adelaide United Women 3-1 away and Sydney FC Women 3-1 at home, but lost to Melbourne City Women (1-2), Brisbane Roar Women (2-4) and Perth Glory Women (2-3). At home this season they have managed only three wins from ten, scoring 14 goals and conceding 19.

Wellington Phoenix Women’s last five results read L-W-L-L-W. A 1-0 home win over Brisbane Roar Women and a 2-0 away victory at Adelaide United Women are the highlights, but they suffered defeats to Melbourne City Women (1-3) and two close 2-1 losses to Brisbane Roar Women. Away from home, Wellington have a strong record with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, scoring 19 goals and conceding just 9.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Newcastle Jets Women lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Wellington’s 3, plus 1 draw from 10 meetings. Recent encounters have been tight: a 1-1 draw in November 2025, a 3-2 away win for Wellington in January 2025, and back-to-back Newcastle home wins (1-0 in 2024, 3-2 in 2024). The overall pattern suggests a slight edge for Newcastle at home, but Wellington have improved significantly this season.

League Table Positions

Wellington Phoenix Women sit 2nd in the A-League Women table with 34 points from 20 matches, a goal difference of +21 (38 scored, 17 conceded). Newcastle Jets Women are 9th with 23 points and a -6 goal difference (30 scored, 36 conceded). Newcastle’s home form is poor with 3 wins and 7 defeats; Wellington’s away form ranks 2nd in the league, making them a formidable opponent on the road.

Win Probability: Newcastle Jets Women or Wellington Phoenix Women?

Based on form, league positions, head-to-head balance and home/away factors, Wellington Phoenix Women have a 55% chance of winning this match. The draw is assessed at 25%, while Newcastle Jets Women are given a 20% win probability. Wellington’s superior overall quality and strong away performances tip the scales, even though Newcastle have traditionally been tough at home in this fixture.

Newcastle Jets Women vs Wellington Phoenix Women Prediction & Betting Odds

Odds for this match are not available from our data provider, but bookmakers would likely see Wellington Phoenix Women as favourites. Our final match prediction: Wellington Phoenix Women to win. Careful staking is advised given Newcastle’s occasional home upset potential.