Connecticut United - New York Red Bulls II prediction 19 July 2026

Connecticut United vs New York Red Bulls II prediction for the MLS Next Pro match on July 19, 2026. Kick-off is at 22:00 local time. Connecticut United are the favourites with a 52% win probability, while New York Red Bulls II have a 22% chance, and the draw sits at 26%.

Team Form

Connecticut United come into this match in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches (W-W-L-W-W). They defeated Toronto II 3-2, Carolina Core FC 3-1, and FC Cincinnati II 4-0 at home, with their only loss coming against NYC New York City II (1-4). New York Red Bulls II have been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five (L-D-W-W-L). They lost 0-3 away to Chicago Fire II, drew 2-2 at FC Cincinnati II, and suffered a 1-2 loss at New England Revolution II, but also recorded emphatic home wins: 5-0 vs Philadelphia Union II and 5-0 vs Toronto II.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on May 24, 2026, in MLS Next Pro. Connecticut United won that away match 3-1 at New York Red Bulls II. With one victory and no defeats, Connecticut United hold a clear head-to-head advantage.

Win Probability: Connecticut United or New York Red Bulls II?

Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and the head-to-head record, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows:

• Connecticut United win: 52%
• Draw: 26%
• New York Red Bulls II win: 22%

The odds imply a 44% chance for a Connecticut United win, but their strong home form and 3-1 H2H victory push that probability up to 52%. New York Red Bulls II’s away struggles (two defeats in their last three road games) reduce their chances to 22%. Therefore, Connecticut United are the most likely winners, but a draw cannot be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Connecticut United as clear favorites, with average odds of 1.86 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.56, while an away win for New York Red Bulls II can be found at 3.41 on average. Based on the stats, our prediction is a Connecticut United win, possibly with a scoreline of 2-0 or 2-1.