New England Revolution - Toronto FC prediction 22 July 2026

The New England Revolution vs Toronto FC prediction points to a home win on Jul 22 at 23:30 in the MLS. Based on the latest stats and odds, New England Revolution has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Toronto FC has a 20% chance.

Team Form

New England Revolution's recent form shows two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches (D, L, W, L, W). At home, they have been strong, winning 7 of 8 games this season. Toronto FC's form is poor, with one draw and four losses in their last five (D, L, L, L, L). Away from home, they have struggled, failing to win any of their recent away matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In 33 previous meetings, New England Revolution has won 20 times, Toronto FC has won 8, and 5 matches ended in a draw. The most recent match on Sep 13, 2025, ended 1-1. Before that, New England Revolution won 2-0 away on May 03, 2025. The H2H record heavily favors the home side.

League Table Positions

New England Revolution sits 8th in the overall MLS standings with 25 points from 14 matches (8 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). At home, they are 3rd with 21 points from 8 games (7 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Toronto FC is not in the top 12 of the overall, home, or away standings, indicating a much weaker campaign.

Win Probability: New England Revolution or Toronto FC?

New England Revolution has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Toronto FC has a 20% chance. These probabilities are based on the average bookmaker odds (home: 1.94, draw: 2.54, away: 3.18), adjusted for the strong home form of New England Revolution (7-0-1 at home) and Toronto FC's poor away record and recent form. The head-to-head record also supports a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see New England Revolution as the favorite with average odds around 1.94 for a home win. The draw is priced at 2.54, and an away win for Toronto FC at 3.18. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a New England Revolution victory. A draw is the second most probable result, while a Toronto FC win is unlikely given their form.