New England Revolution II - NYC New York City II prediction 23 July 2026

The New England Revolution II vs NYC New York City II prediction points to a home-favored contest in MLS Next Pro on July 23, 2026, at 15:00. Based on the latest form and head-to-head record, New England Revolution II enters with a 52% win probability, while NYC New York City II holds a 28% chance, and the draw sits at 20%. The hosts' strong H2H dominance and home advantage give them the edge in this matchup.

Team Form

New England Revolution II's recent results show inconsistency: D, L, W, L, W in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 2-2 home draw against Columbus Crew II on Jul 15. Before that, they suffered a heavy 0-4 home loss to Philadelphia Union II on Jul 05, but bounced back with a 3-1 away win at Toronto II on Jun 28. At home, they have lost two of their last three, which raises some concerns despite their overall league position.

NYC New York City II arrives in excellent form with a sequence of W, W, D, W, W. They secured a commanding 3-0 away victory at Crown on Jul 11, followed by a 4-1 away win at Connecticut United on Jun 26. Their only recent slip was a 1-1 home draw against Chattanooga FC on Jun 21. The visitors have been particularly impressive on the road, winning four of their last five away matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors New England Revolution II, who have won 6 of the 9 previous meetings, with NYC New York City II winning 2 and 1 draw. The most recent clash on May 10, 2026, ended in a 3-2 home win for New England Revolution II. The hosts have won the last four consecutive H2H encounters, including a 2-1 home victory on Apr 26, 2025, and away wins of 3-1 on Sep 18, 2025, and 1-0 on May 31, 2025. NYC New York City II's last win in this fixture dates back further, highlighting New England's psychological edge.

League Table Positions

In the overall MLS Next Pro standings, New England II sit 8th with 33 points from 17 matches (11 wins, 6 losses), scoring 23 goals and conceding 20. NYC New York City II are not listed in the top 12 of the provided overall standings, suggesting a lower position. At home, New England II rank 5th with 21 points from 11 games (7 wins, 4 losses), while the visitors' away record is not among the top 8 listed. The table gap reinforces New England's status as the stronger side on paper.

Win Probability: New England Revolution II or NYC New York City II?

New England Revolution II has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and NYC New York City II has a 28% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of implied odds (adjusted for margin) and weighted by the home team's dominant H2H record (6 wins in 9) and superior league standing. Although the visitors' recent form is stronger, New England's historical control of this fixture and home advantage tip the probabilities in their favor. The likelihood of an away win is reduced by NYC New York City II's lower table position and poor H2H results.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds for the 1X2 market are not available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see New England Revolution II as the favorite. The final prediction: New England Revolution II to win. Their head-to-head dominance and home record outweigh NYC New York City II's recent good form. A low-scoring affair is possible, given New England's moderate goals-for tally (23 in 17 games).