Neretva Metkovic - GOSK Kastela prediction 31 August 2025

The Neretva Metkovic vs GOSK Kastela prediction for the Treca HNL match on August 31, 2025, at 15:00 points towards a home victory. Based on recent form and the head-to-head record, Neretva Metkovic enters this fixture as the favorite with a 52% win probability.

Team Form

Neretva Metkovic's recent form is strong, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches (W, L, D, W, W). They scored an impressive 12 goals in these games, including an 8-0 victory over NK HV Posedarje on May 30, 2026, and a 3-0 win against Zagora on March 21, 2026. Their only defeat in this run was a 0-2 home loss to Zadar on May 2, 2026.

GOSK Kastela's form is poor, with four losses and one draw in their last five outings (L, L, D, L, L). They have conceded 8 goals while scoring only 4. Recent defeats include a 2-3 loss to Zagora on May 30, 2026, and a 1-2 loss to Jadran Kastel Sucurac on May 16, 2026.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams consists of just one previous meeting. That match, played on August 31, 2025, in the Treca HNL, ended in a 2-2 draw. Therefore, the H2H record stands at 0 wins for Neretva Metkovic, 1 draw, and 0 wins for GOSK Kastela.

League Table Positions

Neither Neretva Metkovic nor GOSK Kastela are present in the provided league standings for the Treca HNL. The available table data includes teams such as NK Pazinka, Buje, and Pomorac at the top, but does not feature the two sides in this match. This suggests they may be competing in a different group or division within the Treca HNL structure for which standings are not supplied.

Win Probability: Neretva Metkovic or GOSK Kastela?

Based on the available data, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. Neretva Metkovic has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and GOSK Kastela has a 20% chance. This assessment is primarily driven by the contrasting form of the two teams. Neretva Metkovic's three wins in their last five matches demonstrate strong momentum, while GOSK Kastela's four losses in the same period indicate significant struggles. The only head-to-head fixture ended in a draw, which prevents a stronger probability shift, but the home advantage for Neretva Metkovic further solidifies their favorite status. The conclusion is that Neretva Metkovic is more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific 1X2 odds are available in the provided data for this match. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Neretva Metkovic as the favorite given their superior recent results. Our prediction is a home win for Neretva Metkovic, but the previous 2-2 draw suggests GOSK Kastela cannot be completely ruled out. A bet on Neretva Metkovic to win is the most probable match outcome based on the form analysis.