Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Neman Grodno prediction 19 July 2026

The Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Neman Grodno prediction for this Belarus Cup match on Jul 19 at 12:00 points to a home win. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Shakhtyor Soligorsk has a 50% chance of winning, while Neman Grodno struggles with a 20% probability. The draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Shakhtyor Soligorsk's last five matches show mixed results: a 4-2 away win against Volna Pinsk, a 1-2 home loss to Dinamo Minsk Reserves, a 0-2 away loss to Smorgon, a 4-1 home win over FC Ostrovets, and a 2-6 away defeat to Bumprom. That form line reads W, L, L, W, L — two wins, three losses, with defensive issues on the road.

Neman Grodno's recent form is even more concerning. Their last five outings: a 1-1 away draw at Gomel, a 0-1 home loss to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk, a 0-2 away loss at Dnepr Mogilev, a 1-3 home loss to Dinamo Minsk, and a 0-2 home friendly defeat to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk. The sequence D, L, L, L, L means no wins in five, with four straight losses and only one goal scored in the last four competitive matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In 23 previous meetings between these sides, the home team has won 10 times, there have been 8 draws, and the away side has won 5. The last five head-to-head clashes: Neman Grodno 2-1 Shakhtyor (Feb 2024), Shakhtyor 2-5 Neman (Sep 2023), Neman 0-1 Shakhtyor (Apr 2023), Shakhtyor 2-2 Neman (Sep 2022), and Neman 1-1 Shakhtyor (Apr 2022). That recent record shows 2 away wins, 2 draws, and 1 home win — a slight edge for the visiting team in recent encounters, though the overall history favours the home side.

Win Probability: Shakhtyor Soligorsk or Neman Grodno?

Shakhtyor Soligorsk has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Neman Grodno has a 20% chance. This calculation is based on the home team's slightly better recent form (two wins in five vs. none for Neman), the historical home advantage in this fixture (10 home wins out of 23), and Neman Grodno's terrible away form — they have lost four of their last five away matches and drawn one. While the head-to-head shows Neman can cause problems, their current lack of goals and confidence makes an away win unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific bookmakers' odds for this Cup tie are not available at the moment. Based on the stats, Shakhtyor Soligorsk is the expected favourite. A home win is the most probable outcome, but the high number of historical draws (8 in 23 games) suggests a tight contest. The match prediction is a narrow victory for Shakhtyor Soligorsk, with a draw as a realistic second option.