Neman Grodno - Arsenal Dzerzhinsk prediction 4 July 2026
Neman Grodno
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
GomelNeman GrodnoNeman GrodnoArsenal DzerzhinskDnepr MogilevNeman GrodnoNeman GrodnoDinamo MinskNeman GrodnoYenisey KrasnoyarskDinamo BrestNeman GrodnoNeman GrodnoMaxline VitebskBaranovichiNeman GrodnoNeman GrodnoIslochTorpedo ZhodinoNeman GrodnoNeman GrodnoBelshina BobruiskSlavia MozyrNeman GrodnoNeman GrodnoNaftan NovopolotskMinskNeman GrodnoNeman GrodnoVitebskArsenal DzerzhinskVitebskArsenal DzerzhinskZenit St Petersburg IINeman GrodnoArsenal DzerzhinskArsenal DzerzhinskGomelBATE BorisovArsenal DzerzhinskDnepr MogilevArsenal DzerzhinskArsenal DzerzhinskDinamo MinskDinamo BrestArsenal DzerzhinskArsenal DzerzhinskMaxline VitebskBaranovichiArsenal DzerzhinskArsenal DzerzhinskIslochTorpedo ZhodinoArsenal DzerzhinskArsenal DzerzhinskBelshina BobruiskSlavia MozyrArsenal DzerzhinskArsenal DzerzhinskNaftan NovopolotskNeman GrodnoArsenal DzerzhinskNeman GrodnoArsenal DzerzhinskNeman GrodnoArsenal DzerzhinskArsenal DzerzhinskNeman GrodnoArsenal DzerzhinskNeman GrodnoNeman GrodnoArsenal DzerzhinskNeman GrodnoArsenal Dzerzhinsk| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26:12 | +14 | 33 |
| 2 |  Maxline Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30:13 | +17 | 31 |
| 3 |  Isloch | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gomel | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 26 |
| 5 |  Dinamo Brest | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:15 | +9 | 24 |
| 6 |  Torpedo Zhodino | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Minsk | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Arsenal FC | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18:18 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Neman Grodno | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 21 |
| 10 |  Vitebsk | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 |  Baranovichi | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:26 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 |  Slavia Mozyr | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
| 13 |  Dnepr Mogilev | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 |  Belshina Bobruisk | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13:26 | -13 | 11 |
| 15 |  BATE Borisov | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Naftan Novopolotsk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10:31 | -21 | 6 |
Neman Grodno vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Prediction (Jul 04)
The Neman Grodno vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk prediction centres on the Belarus Vysshaya League clash on July 04, 2026. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk come into this fixture as narrow favourites with a 40% win probability, based on recent form and league standings.
Team Form
Neman Grodno’s recent results are a concern. They have lost three of their last four outings across all competitions, with the only bright spot a 3-1 away win at Dinamo Brest on June 13. At home, their Vysshaya League record reads three wins, one draw and four defeats in eight attempts, leaving them with just ten points from home matches.
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk, by contrast, are unbeaten in their last three league fixtures, securing two wins and a draw. That run includes a 3-2 victory at BATE Borisov and a 1-0 win at Dnepr Mogilev. Their away form has been reliable all season: only one loss in eight road trips, with three wins and four draws. This solid away record makes them a difficult side to beat on their travels.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, Neman Grodno have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings before this match, Neman won three and drew two, keeping Arsenal Dzerzhinsk without a victory. The most recent encounters include a 1-0 home win in October 2025 and a 0-0 draw in August 2025. Arsenal will be eager to break that hoodoo, but the H2H data clearly favours the home side.
League Table Positions
With 20 points from 14 matches, Neman Grodno sit 9th in the Vysshaya League, one point behind 8th-placed Arsenal Dzerzhinsk (21 points). Neman’s home form ranks only 8th in the division, while Arsenal’s away performances place them 5th in the away table, just five points off the top. The narrow gap in points and the contrast in form underline why this is a tightly poised contest.
Win Probability: Neman Grodno or Arsenal Dzerzhinsk?
After weighing all available data, the win probabilities for this match are as follows: Neman Grodno – 30%, Draw – 30%, Arsenal Dzerzhinsk – 40%. These percentages reflect Arsenal’s stronger away record (only one loss in eight trips) and their recent unbeaten league run, combined with Neman’s poor current form and mediocre home results. Although Neman’s historical head-to-head advantage cannot be ignored, the short-term indicators point to an away win as the most likely outcome, albeit by a slender margin.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at the time of writing. Based on the statistical analysis, Arsenal Dzerzhinsk appear to offer the best chance of victory. Our Neman Grodno vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk prediction leans towards an away win, but the draw remains a very realistic outcome given the tight nature of this pairing. Careful punters should consider the double chance (away win or draw) as the safest approach.
Neman Grodno vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — FAQ
- Who will win Neman Grodno vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk?
- Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are the slight favourites with a 40% win probability, while Neman Grodno have a 30% chance and the draw is rated at 30%. This means the away side has the highest statistical edge, but the match is wide open.
- What is the win probability for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk?
- Arsenal Dzerzhinsk’s win probability stands at 40%. This is based on their strong away record (only one defeat in eight Vysshaya League away games) and Neman Grodno’s recent run of three losses in four matches.
- When is the Neman Grodno vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk match?
- The match is scheduled for July 4, 2026, kicking off at 15:00 local time. It will be played in the Belarus Vysshaya League.
- What are the odds for Neman Grodno vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk?
- Currently no odds are listed for this fixture. Should bookmakers release prices, Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are expected to be marginal favourites based on the analysed form and table positions.