Karvan - Neftchi Baku prediction 5 May 2026
Karvan
Neftchi Baku
FK MKT Araz ImisliKarvanKarvanQabalaTuran TovuzKarvanKarvanNeftchi BakuSabah Baku FCKarvanKarvanShamakhi FKKarvanFK KapazQarabagKarvanKarvanZiraAraz NakchivanKarvanKarvanFK SumqayitQabalaKarvanKarvanAraz NakchivanZiraKarvanTuran TovuzKarvanNeftchi BakuOsijekNeftchi BakuRadnicki NisPartizan BelgradeNeftchi BakuNeftchi BakuCFR ClujFK KapazNeftchi BakuSabah Baku FCNeftchi BakuNeftchi BakuShamakhi FKKarvanNeftchi BakuNeftchi BakuQarabagNeftchi BakuQarabagZiraNeftchi BakuNeftchi BakuAraz NakchivanFK SumqayitNeftchi BakuNeftchi BakuFK MKT Araz ImisliQabalaNeftchi BakuKarvanNeftchi BakuKarvanNeftchi BakuNeftchi BakuKarvan| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sabah FA FC | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 75:25 | +50 | 78 |
| 2 |  Qarabag | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 71:27 | +44 | 69 |
| 3 |  Turan Tovuz | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 44:27 | +17 | 59 |
| 4 | Neftchi Baku | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 57:32 | +25 | 59 |
| 5 |  Zira | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 43:36 | +7 | 53 |
| 6 |  Araz Nakchivan | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:58 | -14 | 46 |
| 7 |  FK Sumqayit | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 45:49 | -4 | 41 |
| 8 |  Şamaxı FK | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 38 |
| 9 |  FK MKT Araz Imisli | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 23:43 | -20 | 34 |
| 10 |  FK Kapaz | 33 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 25:61 | -36 | 27 |
| 11 |  Qabala | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 32:49 | -17 | 27 |
| 12 | Karvan | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23:66 | -43 | 15 |
Neftchi Baku vs Karvan Prediction (May 05, 2026)
Our Neftchi Baku vs Karvan prediction for the Premyer Liqa clash on May 05, 2026, at 12:00 kicks off with a clear favorite. Based on current form, a dominant head-to-head record, and a massive league table gap, Neftchi Baku has a strong 70% chance of taking all three points at home.
Team Form
Neftchi Baku enter this match with a mixed recent record in their last five outings, reading W, W, W, L, L. Their most recent match was a 0-1 win away against FK Kapaz on May 23. Karvan’s form has been poor, with a sequence of L, L, L, L, D in their last five matches. They drew 1-1 away to FK MKT Araz Imisli on May 24, ending a run of four straight defeats.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record strongly favors Neftchi Baku. In the 3 previous meetings, Neftchi Baku have 2 wins, with 1 draw and Karvan yet to register a victory. The most recent encounter was on May 5, 2026, when Neftchi Baku beat Karvan 0-3 away from home. This season’s earlier meetings saw another 2-1 away win and a 0-0 home draw.
League Table Positions
The standings highlight the gulf between the two sides. Neftchi Baku sit 4th with 59 points from 33 matches, having scored 57 goals and conceded 32. Karvan are bottom in 12th place with just 15 points, a goal difference of -43, and only 3 wins all season. Neftchi's away form is notably strong (2nd in the league), but their home record (6W-6D-4L) will need to improve against the league’s last-placed team.
Win Probability: Neftchi Baku or Karvan?
Here is the calculated win probability for this match. We base this on the huge class difference visible in the standings, the head-to-head monopoly, and recent form. No odds were provided, so the calculation relies purely on stats and league context.
- Neftchi Baku win: 70%
- Draw: 20%
- Karvan win: 10%
Karvan's only point in five matches came last time out, but their overall record shows 24 losses in 33 games. Neftchi have the quality to exploit this, especially with an attack that has scored 57 goals this season.
Odds & Match Prediction
No specific 1X2 odds are available from the data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would see Neftchi Baku as the overwhelming favorite. A home win is the natural prediction, given the visitors' torrid campaign and the 3-0 victory when the teams last met.
Neftchi Baku vs Karvan — FAQ
- Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Karvan?
- Neftchi Baku is the clear favorite to win. Our calculated probabilities are 70% for a Neftchi Baku victory, 20% for a draw, and 10% for a Karvan win, based on the massive points gap in the Premyer Liqa standings and the head-to-head record.
- What is the win probability for Neftchi Baku?
- Neftchi Baku has a 70% chance of winning this match. This high probability reflects their 4th-place standing with 59 points, their two wins in three head-to-head meetings, and Karvan's position at the bottom of the table with just 15 points.
- When is the Neftchi Baku vs Karvan match?
- The match is scheduled for May 05, 2026, with a kick-off time of 12:00. It is a Premyer Liqa fixture in Azerbaijan.
- What are the odds for the match?
- No opening or closing odds were available in the provided data. However, based on form and league positions, Neftchi Baku would be heavily favored by bookmakers to win.
- What is the recent form of Neftchi Baku and Karvan?
- Neftchi Baku's last five results read W, W, W, L, L, including a 0-3 win over Karvan. Karvan's form is D, L, L, L, L, with their most recent match a 1-1 draw against FK MKT Araz Imisli.