CRB AL - Nautico PE prediction 16 July 2026

The Nautico PE vs CRB AL prediction for the Serie B match on Jul 16 at 23:00 points to a tight contest. Based on our analysis, Nautico PE has a 40% win probability, while a draw stands at 38% and CRB AL at 22%.

Team Form

Nautico PE are struggling, with no wins in their last five matches (D2 L3). They lost 2-0 to Avai SC, drew 0-0 with Juventude RS, lost 0-1 to Goias GO, lost 3-4 to Vila Nova GO, and drew 2-2 with Gremio Novorizontino SP. This poor run shows defensive frailties and a lack of cutting edge at home.

CRB AL have been more resilient on the road, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five away games. They drew 2-2 with Goias GO, lost 0-5 to Londrina PR, won 1-0 at Botafogo SP, drew 1-1 with Fortaleza CE, and drew 3-3 with Atletico Goianiense GO. Despite a heavy defeat, they have picked up points consistently.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head, Nautico PE lead with 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses against CRB AL. The last five meetings have been dominated by Nautico PE, who are unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws. The most recent clash, on Mar 24, 2024 in the Copa do Nordeste, ended 1-1. This historical edge gives Nautico PE a psychological advantage.

League Table Positions

Neither side features in the top 12 of the Serie B overall standings, indicating both are in the lower half. Nautico PE’s home form is not among the top 8, suggesting they have struggled at their own stadium. CRB AL sit 6th in the away standings with 12 points from 9 games (3W, 3D, 3L), showing they can compete on the road. Nautico PE’s away record (8th, 11 points from 9 games) is slightly better than their home displays, which adds to the uncertainty.

Win Probability: Nautico PE or CRB AL?

After calculating from the odds and adjusting for recent form and H2H, the win probabilities are:

• Nautico PE win: 40%
• Draw: 38%
• CRB AL win: 22%

The raw odds implied a home win chance around 42%, but Nautico PE’s poor form reduces that slightly. CRB AL’s away draws and the history of stalemates between these sides push the draw probability up. Nautico PE remain favorites, but only marginally, and a draw is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds (from one provider): Nautico PE win 1.95, draw 2.20, CRB AL win 4.00. Other bookies offer similar prices, with home win around 1.91–1.95, draw 2.20–2.25, and away win 3.60–4.00. The market clearly sees Nautico PE as the favorite, but the high draw odds reflect the competitive nature of this fixture.

Based on the stats, our Nautico PE vs CRB AL prediction is a tight match with a strong chance of a draw. A double chance bet on Nautico PE or draw could be the safest option.