Nasaf Qarshi - Navbahor Namangan prediction 4 May 2026
Nasaf Qarshi
Navbahor Namangan
BunyodkorNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiShurtan GuzarAndijanNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiHavokandNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganPakhtakorNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiLokomotiv Farm TashkentNeftchiNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiFK BuxoroFK Kokand 1912Nasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiAndijanNasaf QarshiSurkhon TermezDinamo SamarqandNasaf QarshiSogdianaNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiXorazm FK UrganchNavbahor NamanganAGMK OlmaliqNavbahor NamanganSementchi KuvasoyBarkamol AvlodNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganFarDu FerganaXorazm FK UrganchNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganLokomotiv Farm TashkentNavbahor NamanganQoraqalpogiston FANasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganBunyodkorNavbahor NamanganDo StlikNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganSogdianaNavbahor NamanganAndijanLokomotiv Farm TashkentNavbahor NamanganHavokandNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganSurkhon TermezNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiNasaf QarshiNavbahor Namangan| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 27:4 | +23 | 31 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 |  FK Buxoro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 |  AGMK Olmaliq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Bunyodkor | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Nasaf Qarshi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:11 | +5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Xorazm FK Urganch | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 |  Qizilqum Zarafshon | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 13 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 |  Surkhon Termez | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  FK Kokand 1912 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Mashal Muborak | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan Prediction (May 04)
The Super League match between Nasaf Qarshi and Navbahor Namangan on May 04, 2026, at 15:00 is a tight contest. Our Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan prediction gives Navbahor Namangan a 35% win probability, while a draw stands at 40% and Nasaf Qarshi has a 25% chance.
Team Form
Nasaf Qarshi's last five matches: W, D, W, D, D. They beat Shurtan Guzar 4-0, drew 1-1 with Andijan, thrashed Havokand 6-1, drew 0-0 with Navbahor Namangan, and drew 2-2 with Pakhtakor. That's two wins and three draws, remaining unbeaten. Navbahor Namangan's recent form reads D, D, W, D, W. They drew 1-1 with Sementchi Kuvasoy, drew 0-0 with Barkamol Avlod, beat FarDu Fergana 4-1, drew 1-1 with Xorazm FK Urganch, and beat Lokomotiv Farm Tashkent 3-2. Also unbeaten in five, with two wins and three draws.
Head-to-Head Record
In 26 meetings, Nasaf Qarshi have won 4, Navbahor Namangan 5, and 17 ended in draws. The last five encounters: a 0-0 draw on May 04, 2026; a 0-0 draw on Oct 30, 2025; a 1-0 Nasaf win on Jun 15, 2025; a 0-1 Nasaf win on Oct 30, 2023; and a 0-0 draw on May 07, 2023. That's three draws and two Nasaf Qarshi victories, highlighting how evenly matched these sides are.
League Table Positions
Navbahor Namangan sit 4th in the Super League with 19 points from 10 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Nasaf Qarshi are 9th with 13 points (3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Navbahor's away form is strong: 4 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats in 6 away games. Nasaf's home record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from 5 home matches, giving them a slight home advantage but not a dominant one.
Win Probability: Nasaf Qarshi or Navbahor Namangan?
Based on team form, head-to-head data, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Nasaf Qarshi win – 25%, Draw – 40%, Navbahor Namangan win – 35%. The high draw probability reflects the 17 stalemates in 26 H2H meetings and both teams' recent sequences of draws. Navbahor's superior league standing and strong away record give them a slight edge, but Nasaf's unbeaten run and historical home success in this fixture (two wins in the last five H2H) keep them competitive. A draw is the most probable outcome, but if there is a winner, Navbahor Namangan is more likely to take the points.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds for this match are currently unavailable. Based on the available stats, Navbahor Namangan are considered the favorites, but the draw presents the highest probability outcome. Our final Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan prediction: a low-scoring draw or a narrow win for the away side.
Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan — FAQ
- Who will win Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan?
- Based on our analysis, Nasaf Qarshi has a 25% chance of winning, a draw has a 40% probability, and Navbahor Namangan has a 35% chance. A draw is the most likely result, but Navbahor Namangan is the favorite if there is a winner.
- What is the win probability for Navbahor Namangan?
- Navbahor Namangan has a 35% win probability. This is based on their higher league position (4th vs 9th), strong away record (4 wins in 6 away games), and the head-to-head history that slightly favors them overall.
- When is the Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan match?
- The match is on May 04, 2026, at 15:00. It is a Super League fixture in Uzbekistan.
- What are the odds for Nasaf Qarshi vs Navbahor Namangan?
- Bookmakers' odds are not available for this match. Our prediction is based on team form, head-to-head record, and league standings.
- What is the head-to-head record between Nasaf Qarshi and Navbahor Namangan?
- In 26 meetings, Nasaf Qarshi have won 4, Navbahor Namangan have won 5, and 17 matches ended in draws. The last five encounters include three draws and two Nasaf Qarshi wins.