JK Narva Trans II - Parnu JK Vaprus 2 prediction 19 July 2026

The JK Narva Trans II vs Parnu JK Vaprus 2 prediction points to a home victory in this Esiliiga B clash on July 19, 2026. Kick-off is at 09:30 UTC, and based on the latest odds, form, and league table, JK Narva Trans II enters the match as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability. The draw stands at 25%, while Parnu JK Vaprus 2 has a 20% chance of causing an upset.

Team Form

JK Narva Trans II comes into this match in strong shape, winning four of their last five outings. Their recent results: a 1-2 away loss to Tammeka Tartu Reserves, followed by four consecutive wins – 2-1 at home to Viljandi Tulevik, 3-2 away at Tallinna Kalev 2, 3-2 at home to FA Tartu Kalev, and a dominant 5-0 home victory over Tabasalu Jk Charma. The attack has been firing, with 14 goals scored in those five matches.

Parnu JK Vaprus 2's last four matches show a mixed bag: a 2-4 away loss to Johvi FC Phoenix, an impressive 8-2 away win at Tabasalu Jk Charma, a 4-1 away victory over Tallinna JK Legion, and a 2-2 home draw with Tallinna Kalev 2. While they have shown they can score heavily on the road, defensive lapses remain a concern – they have conceded 9 goals in those four games.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between these two sides. The record stands at 0 wins for JK Narva Trans II, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Parnu JK Vaprus 2. This will be their first ever meeting, making form and league standing the only reliable indicators.

League Table Positions

In the Esiliiga B overall standings, JK Narva Trans II (listed as Narva U21) sits 4th with 32 points from 18 matches (10 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses; goals 44:28). Parnu JK Vaprus 2 (Parnu JK Vaprus U21) is 5th, also on 32 points but from 19 games (10 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses; goals 56:42). The home side has a game in hand and a superior goal difference.

Home and away splits tell an even clearer story. JK Narva Trans II is unbeaten at home this season: 7 wins and 2 draws in 9 matches, scoring 32 goals and conceding only 10. Parnu JK Vaprus 2, despite topping the away standings, has a mixed away record of 5 wins and 7 losses from 12 trips, with 30 goals scored and 33 conceded.

Win Probability: JK Narva Trans II or Parnu JK Vaprus 2?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for team form and home/away performance, the win probabilities are as follows:

• JK Narva Trans II win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Parnu JK Vaprus 2 win: 20%

The home side’s perfect home record, superior goal difference, and the odds all point to a high likelihood of a home win. Parnu JK Vaprus 2’s away form is unpredictable – capable of big wins but also prone to defeats – which lowers their chances. The draw probability reflects the possibility of a tight contest, but the stats heavily favor JK Narva Trans II to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced JK Narva Trans II as the clear favorite. The best available odds from the pre-match market show a home win at 1.57, a draw at 3.10, and an away win at 3.75. These odds imply a home win probability of around 52% before adjustments, which we have upgraded to 55% given the home team’s flawless home record.

Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home victory. JK Narva Trans II’s attacking form and defensive solidity at home should be enough to overcome a Parnu JK Vaprus 2 side that concedes regularly on the road. A 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline appears realistic.