Foshan Nanshi - Nantong Zhiyun prediction 17 July 2026

The Foshan Nanshi vs Nantong Zhiyun prediction for the China. League One match on Jul 17, 2026, at 11:30 points to an away win. Nantong Zhiyun enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while struggling Foshan Nanshi has just a 20% chance. A draw stands at 35%, reflecting the visitors' solid form and the hosts' poor recent run.

Team Form

Foshan Nanshi are in dreadful shape, losing four of their last five matches and managing only one draw. The sequence reads L, L, L, L, D. They suffered a 0-1 defeat at Ningbo Professional FC Huilong, a 1-3 loss at Nanjing Fengfan, a 0-2 home reverse against Yanbian Longding, and a humiliating 0-5 home thrashing by Shaanxi Union. The lone point came in a 3-3 draw at Guangxi Hengchen FC. Defensive frailties are obvious, with 12 goals conceded in those five outings.

Nantong Zhiyun's recent form is far more stable: D, L, W, D, D. They drew 0-0 at Shenzhen Juniors FC, lost 1-3 at home to Meizhou Hakka, beat Yanbian Longding 2-0 at home, and collected back-to-back away draws – 1-1 at Ningbo Professional FC Huilong and 0-0 at Guangxi Hengchen FC. Away from home, they are unbeaten in three, showing resilience and defensive organisation.

Head-to-Head Record

The two previous meetings between these sides both came in the 2025 China. League One season. Nantong Zhiyun hold the edge with one win and one draw. On Apr 13, 2025, Nantong Zhiyun won 2-0 at home. The return fixture on Aug 03, 2025, ended 1-1 at Foshan Nanshi. Foshan Nanshi have yet to beat Nantong Zhiyun, failing to score in one of those encounters.

League Table Positions

Nantong Zhiyun sit 5th in the overall standings with 23 points from 13 matches (6 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 12 goals and conceded only 9, boasting the second-best home record in the division. Foshan Nanshi do not appear in the top 12 of the league table, indicating a much lower position. The gap in quality is clear, with Nantong Zhiyun competing for promotion and Foshan Nanshi battling near the bottom.

Win Probability: Foshan Nanshi or Nantong Zhiyun?

After analysing all available data, the win probabilities are: Foshan Nanshi 20%, draw 35%, Nantong Zhiyun 45%. The calculation starts from the bookmakers' odds, which imply a tight contest but favour the away side. Adjusting for form – Foshan Nanshi's four losses in five and Nantong Zhiyun's unbeaten away streak – and the head-to-head record, Nantong Zhiyun's chances increase significantly. The home team's poor defensive record and low league position further reduce their likelihood of a win. Nantong Zhiyun is the more probable winner, though a draw remains a strong possibility given the visitors' recent share of stalemates.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a closely matched affair. Typical 1X2 odds are 3.70 for a Foshan Nanshi home win, 2.05 for the draw, and 2.45 for a Nantong Zhiyun away victory. These odds reflect the visitors' slight favouritism but also highlight the draw as the most likely single result in the market. Based on the stats, Nantong Zhiyun should have enough to secure the points, but their recent tendency to draw away matches means a low-scoring stalemate cannot be ruled out. The final prediction leans towards an away win, with under 2.5 total goals a likely side bet.