| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 20:6 | +14 | 27 | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:8 | +14 | 26 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | +8 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 28:22 | +6 | 23 | |
| 6 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 22 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 18 | |
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 15 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 13 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 11 | |
| 15 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7:21 | -14 | 9 | |
| 16 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:25 | -16 | 9 |
The Naftas HASK Zagreb vs Tigar Sveta Nedelja prediction for September 7, 2025, in the Croatian Treca HNL points to a home win. Naftas HASK Zagreb enters this match with a 55% probability of victory, while the draw is at 25% and Tigar Sveta Nedelja has a 20% chance. Everything you need to know about team form, head-to-head record, and win probabilities is here.
Naftas HASK Zagreb's recent results show a mixed but home-focused strength. Their last five matches produced two wins, two losses, and one draw (W-W-L-L-D). At home, they were particularly impressive: a 1-0 win over Udarnik Kurilovec, a 4-0 thrashing of Tekstilac Ravnice, and a 2-2 draw with Gaj Mace. The two away defeats (0-3 at Inter Zapresic, 1-3 at Bistra) suggest vulnerability on the road, but this fixture is at their own ground.
Tigar Sveta Nedelja's away form is less convincing. In their last four outings (excluding this fixture), they recorded one win, two losses, and one draw — the win came at home against Precko (4-2). Away from home, they lost 1-2 at Inter Zapresic, drew 0-0 at Udarnik Kurilovec, and lost 1-3 at Gaj Mace. That run of just one point from three away trips underlines their struggles on the road.
These two sides have no prior head-to-head meetings before September 7, 2025. The only recorded match between them is this season's fixture itself, which is the subject of this prediction. With no historical clashes, form and home advantage become the decisive factors.
Based on the available team form, home advantage, and the lack of earlier H2H data, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
Naftas HASK Zagreb’s dominant home performances — three goals scored in their last two home wins — and Tigar Sveta Nedelja’s poor away record (two losses and a draw in the last three trips) make the hosts clear favorites. The absence of bookmaker odds (no odds were available in the data) reinforces this conclusion drawn from on-pitch statistics.
Bookmakers' odds for this Treca HNL encounter were not available in the source data. Nevertheless, our analysis strongly suggests that Naftas HASK Zagreb are the more likely winners — a home victory is the most probable match outcome. The recommended bet would be a home win, but bettors should always check the latest odds once released and compare with our probability assessment.