Montreal Impact - Toronto FC prediction 16 July 2026
Montreal Impact
Toronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FC
D.C. UnitedMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactChicago FireMontreal ImpactPortland TimbersMontreal ImpactOrlando CityMontreal ImpactCalgary BlizzardAtlanta UnitedMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactNew York CityMontreal ImpactNew York Red BullsMontreal ImpactPhiladelphia UnionNew England RevolutionMontreal ImpactFC CincinnatiMontreal ImpactOrlando CityMontreal ImpactNew York Red BullsMontreal ImpactChicago FireMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FCChicago FireToronto FCCharlotte FCToronto FCToronto FCInter Miami CFToronto FCAtletico OttawaToronto FCSan Jose EarthquakesToronto FCAtlanta UnitedToronto FCPhiladelphia UnionToronto FCAustin FCToronto FCFC CincinnatiToronto FCColorado RapidsToronto FCColumbus CrewToronto FCNew York Red BullsFC CincinnatiToronto FCVancouver WhitecapsToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCToronto FCMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FCToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FCToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FCToronto FCMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FCToronto FCMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCToronto FCMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FCToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactToronto FCMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FCToronto FCMontreal ImpactMontreal ImpactToronto FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32:11 | +21 | 36 |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | +22 | 32 |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | +19 | 32 |
| 4 |  Inter Miami CF | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | +11 | 31 |
| 5 |  Los Angeles FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:17 | +10 | 27 |
| 6 |  Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | +11 | 26 |
| 7 |  Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | +7 | 26 |
| 8 |  New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 25 |
| 9 |  FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | +8 | 25 |
| 10 |  Seattle Sounders | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 24 |
| 11 |  New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
| 12 |  Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 22 |
| 14 |  Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | +1 | 21 |
| 15 |  FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
| 16 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
| 17 |  New York City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | +4 | 19 |
| 18 |  Saint Louis City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 |
| 19 |  D.C. United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
| 20 |  Portland Timbers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 |  San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | +3 | 17 |
| 22 |  Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
| 23 |  Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | +1 | 16 |
| 24 | Montreal Impact | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 15 |
| 25 | Toronto FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 15 |
| 26 |  Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
| 27 |  Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 |
| 28 |  Atlanta United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 11 |
| 29 |  Sporting Kansas City | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:39 | -23 | 11 |
| 30 |  Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
Montreal Impact vs Toronto FC Prediction (Jul 16)
The Montreal Impact vs Toronto FC prediction for the MLS match on July 16, 2026, at Saputo Stadium points to a home win. Based on the stats, Montreal Impact has a 50% chance of winning, while Toronto FC sits at 25% and the draw at 25%.
Team Form
Montreal Impact's recent home form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches (D, L, D, W, W). They scored 13 goals in that span, including a 5-0 victory over Calgary Blizzard and a 2-0 win against Orlando City. Toronto FC, on the other hand, have struggled on the road with four defeats and a single draw (L, L, L, L, D). They conceded 13 goals in those five away games, managing just one draw against San Jose Earthquakes.
Head-to-Head Record
In 38 all-time meetings, Montreal Impact lead with 20 wins, Toronto FC have 14, and 4 matches ended in draws. The last five encounters: a 1-1 draw (Aug 2025), a 6-1 Toronto win (May 2025), a 2-2 draw (Apr 2025), a 3-2 Montreal win (Aug 2023), and a 2-0 Montreal win (May 2023). Recent history slightly favours the home side with two wins and two draws in the last five.
League Table Positions
Neither Montreal Impact nor Toronto FC appear in the top 12 of the MLS overall standings, indicating both are in the lower half of the table. Specific points and ranks are unavailable, but the gap to the playoff spots is significant for both teams.
Win Probability: Montreal Impact or Toronto FC?
Montreal Impact has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Toronto FC has a 25% chance. These probabilities are calculated from average bookmaker odds (home 2.17, draw 2.38, away 3.48) and adjusted for Montreal's superior home form and Toronto's poor away run. The home advantage at Saputo Stadium and the head-to-head edge further support Montreal as the clear favourite.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Montreal Impact as the favourite with average odds of 2.17 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.38, and an away win for Toronto FC at 3.48. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Montreal Impact victory. Our Montreal Impact vs Toronto FC prediction is a home win, with the 1X2 market offering value on the favourite.
Montreal Impact vs Toronto FC — FAQ
- Who will win Montreal Impact vs Toronto FC?
- Based on the analysis, Montreal Impact has a 50% chance of winning, while Toronto FC has a 25% chance and the draw is 25%. Montreal is the favourite due to better recent form and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Montreal Impact?
- Montreal Impact has a 50% win probability. This is derived from bookmaker odds (average 2.17) and adjusted for their strong home performances (two wins in last five) and Toronto's four away losses in five matches.
- When is the Montreal Impact vs Toronto FC match?
- The match is on July 16, 2026, at 23:30 UTC, at Saputo Stadium in Montreal. It is an MLS fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The average odds are 2.17 for a Montreal Impact win, 2.38 for a draw, and 3.48 for a Toronto FC win. These odds reflect Montreal as the favourite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Montreal Impact and Toronto FC?
- In 38 previous meetings, Montreal Impact has won 20, Toronto FC 14, with 4 draws. The last five matches saw two Montreal wins, two draws, and one Toronto win.