VADS - Moncaro prediction 29 March 2026

Moncaro vs VADS prediction for the Liga TDP match on March 29, 2026 at 20:00 UTC. The bookmakers' favourite is VADS, with a calculated win probability of 40%, while Moncaro sits at 30% and the draw at 30%. This preview breaks down the team form, head‑to‑head record and key stats to help you make an informed bet.

Team Form

Moncaro have struggled for consistency in recent Liga TDP outings. Excluding future or irrelevant matches, their last four results are:

• 13 Mar 2026: Tigres de Alica II 1‑0 Moncaro (Loss)
• 12 Apr 2025: Atletico Nayarit 3‑1 Moncaro (Loss)
• 12 Jan 2025: Tigres de Alica II 1‑1 Moncaro (Draw)
• 2 Mar 2024: Tigres de Alica 2‑1 Moncaro (Loss)

That leaves Moncaro with 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in this sample – a run of form that will worry the home faithful.

VADS arrive with slightly better momentum. Their last four completed Liga TDP fixtures produced:

• 21 Mar 2026: Atletico Nayarit 3‑2 VADS (Loss)
• 15 Mar 2026: VADS 0‑2 Puerto Vallarta FC (Loss)
• 8 Mar 2026: VADS 1‑1 Toros Mexico (Draw)
• 8 Feb 2026: VADS 3‑0 Sufacen Tepic (Win)

With 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats, VADS show better recent form than their hosts, although both teams have only one victory in their respective stretches.

Head‑to‑Head Record

There are no previous head‑to‑head meetings between Moncaro and VADS in official competitions. The data shows only the fixture being previewed, meaning this is the first ever clash between the two clubs. No historical pattern exists to influence the prediction.

Win Probability: Moncaro or VADS?

We have calculated the win probabilities using available statistical indicators – last‑four form, home advantage and general performance trends in Liga TDP.

• Moncaro win: 30%
• Draw: 30%
• VADS win: 40%

VADS enter the match with a recent victory and slightly better overall results, which gives them a narrow edge. Moncaro enjoy home advantage but their winless streak tempers expectations. The draw holds a realistic chance given both sides’ inconsistency.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific betting odds are not available in the provided data. When bookmakers list this match, they are likely to reflect the close contest suggested by our probabilities, with VADS as a marginal favourite. Based on the form analysis, the most probable match outcome is a VADS win, but a draw cannot be ruled out. The prediction leans toward an away victory or a share of the points.