Salisbury United - Modbury Jets SC prediction 18 July 2026

Our Modbury Jets SC vs Salisbury United prediction for this South State League match on Jul 18, 2026, points to a home win. Based on our analysis, Modbury Jets SC has a 62% chance of winning, while Salisbury United faces an uphill battle.

Team Form

Modbury Jets SC come into this match with a mixed recent record: one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a 3-1 away defeat to Adelaide Blue Eagles on Jul 13. Before that, they drew 0-0 with The Cove FC and 0-0 with Eastern United, both away. Their only win in this stretch was a convincing 4-1 home victory over Adelaide Olimpic on Jun 27. At home, they have been solid, losing just twice in nine league games this season.

Salisbury United have struggled, losing three of their last five matches. They lost 1-0 away to Adelaide Olimpic on Jul 3, were thrashed 4-0 at home by The Cove FC, and fell 3-0 at Adelaide Blue Eagles. Their sole bright spot was a 4-3 home win against Adelaide Raiders on Jun 6. Away from home, they have managed just one draw in their last three road trips, conceding six goals in those games.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head heavily favors Modbury Jets SC. In 14 meetings, Modbury Jets SC have won 11, with 1 draw and Salisbury United winning just 2. The most recent clash on Apr 18, 2026, saw Modbury Jets SC cruise to a 3-0 home victory. This dominance, especially at home, is a key factor in our prediction.

League Table Positions

Modbury Jets SC sit 6th in the South State League with 29 points from 17 matches (8 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 31 goals and conceded only 16, boasting the second-best home record in the division: 6 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, with 23 goals scored and just 7 conceded at home.

Salisbury United are 11th in the 12-team league, with only 11 points from 17 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 12 losses). They have a goal difference of -21 (19 scored, 40 conceded). Their away form is particularly poor, with only one point from their last three away matches and no clean sheets on the road all season.

Win Probability: Modbury Jets SC or Salisbury United?

After analyzing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Modbury Jets SC win – 62%, draw – 23%, Salisbury United win – 15%. The calculation is based on Modbury Jets SC’s strong home record (67% win rate at home), their overwhelming head-to-head advantage (79% win rate in this fixture), and Salisbury United’s struggles both overall and away. While Modbury’s recent form includes several draws, the gulf in class and home advantage make them the clear favorite. Salisbury United would need a significant upset to take all three points.

Odds & Modbury Jets SC vs Salisbury United Prediction

At the time of writing, bookmakers have not released odds for this South State League fixture. Based on the stats, Modbury Jets SC will likely be priced as strong favorites when markets open. Our prediction: Modbury Jets SC to win. The home side’s defensive solidity (only 7 goals conceded at home) and Salisbury United’s leaky away defense point to a potential clean sheet for the hosts. A 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline is a realistic outcome.