The Gap Women - Mitchelton Women prediction 19 June 2026

Mitchelton Women vs The Gap Women prediction for the NPL Queensland Women match on June 19, 2026. The Gap Women are the favorites with a 45% win probability, while Mitchelton Women have a 30% chance and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Mitchelton Women come into this match with a mixed recent record. Their last five results show one win, one draw, and three losses (W, L, D, L, L). They secured a 3-1 away victory against Grange Thistle Women on Jul 04, but suffered a 4-3 defeat to The Gap Women in their most recent head-to-head. A 2-2 draw with Peninsula Power Women and back-to-back 0-1 losses to Caboolture FC Women and North Lakes United Women highlight defensive vulnerabilities.

The Gap Women, on the other hand, have been in stronger form with three wins in their last five outings (W, W, L, L, W). They beat Palm Beach Sharks Women 5-3 on Jul 04 and edged Mitchelton Women 4-3 in a high-scoring affair. Losses to Caboolture FC Women (1-2) and Virginia United Women (0-1) were setbacks, but a 3-2 win over Moreton City Excelsior Women shows their attacking threat. The Gap Women have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, though they’ve also conceded 11.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record heavily favors The Gap Women. In 17 previous meetings, Mitchelton Women have won 6 times, The Gap Women have won 11, and there have been no draws. The last two encounters both went to The Gap Women: a 4-3 home win on Jun 19, 2026, and a 3-2 away victory on Mar 22, 2026. Mitchelton Women’s last win in this fixture was a 3-1 result back in August 2022. The historical data clearly points to an away-team advantage.

Win Probability: Mitchelton Women or The Gap Women?

Based on recent form, head-to-head statistics, and the home/away factor, we have calculated the following win probabilities for this match:

• Mitchelton Women win: 30%
• Draw: 25%
• The Gap Women win: 45%

The Gap Women’s superior form (3 wins in 5 matches vs Mitchelton’s 1 win) and their dominant H2H record (11 wins to 6) make them the likely winners. Mitchelton Women’s home advantage and the fact they have won 6 of the 17 H2H meetings keep them in contention, but their recent defensive struggles reduce their chances. The draw, which has never occurred in this fixture, is given a 25% probability due to the unpredictable nature of both teams’ recent performances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this NPL Queensland Women fixture. When available, they are expected to reflect The Gap Women as favorites. Our prediction, based purely on the stats, is an away win for The Gap Women. The high-scoring trend in recent meetings (4-3 and 3-2) also suggests a possible bet on over 2.5 goals, but always check the latest team news before placing any wager.