Miedz Legnica - Nasaf Qarshi prediction 25 January 2026

Miedz Legnica vs Nasaf Qarshi prediction: The Friendly Clubs match takes place on January 25, 2026. Based on our analysis, Miedz Legnica holds a 35% win probability, with the draw also at 35%, while Nasaf Qarshi sits at 30%. This makes the home side the marginal favourite, but the contest is expected to be tight.

Team Form

Miedz Legnica come into this friendly with mixed results. In their last five outings across all competitions, they recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats (W-D-L-L-W). Recent victories came against Banik Ostrava (2-1) and Puszcza Niepolomice (2-1), but they also suffered a 0-2 home loss to GKS Katowice and a 3-0 away defeat to Zaglebie Lubin. Their attacking output has been inconsistent, and defensively they have kept only one clean sheet in that run.

Nasaf Qarshi are unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws (W-D-W-D-D). They crushed Shurtan Guzar 4-0 and Havokand 6-1 at home, while holding Andijan (1-1) and Pakhtakor (2-2) to draws on the road. The Uzbek side has demonstrated resilience away from home, remaining undefeated in their last two away fixtures.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, also in a Friendly Clubs match on January 25, 2026. That encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, with both sides getting on the scoresheet. The limited head-to-head data suggests a balanced rivalry where neither side has established dominance.

Win Probability: Miedz Legnica or Nasaf Qarshi?

We calculate the match outcome probabilities based on recent form, the head-to-head record, and home advantage. Miedz Legnica’s home form (two wins in the last three home games) gives them a slight edge, but Nasaf Qarshi’s unbeaten streak and solid away performances make them tough to beat. The only previous meeting finished level, which is reflected in the high draw probability.

Probability breakdown:

• Miedz Legnica win: 35%
• Draw: 35%
• Nasaf Qarshi win: 30%

Miedz Legnica are the narrow favourites due to the home factor, but the draw is equally likely. Nasaf Qarshi cannot be written off and have a realistic chance of taking something from the game.

Odds & Match Prediction

Currently, there are no bookmaker odds available for this fixture. With no market prices to guide us, our prediction relies entirely on the stats and form data at hand. Based on the information, we anticipate a closely fought contest where a scoring draw looks the most plausible outcome. The 1-1 scoreline from the last meeting only reinforces that view. If forced to pick a winner, Miedz Legnica’s home advantage gives them the slightest edge, but the value might lie in the draw market should odds become available.