Metalist Kharkiv - Yarud Mariupol prediction 25 April 2026

Ukraine · Persha LigaFinished
Match Info
CompetitionPersha Liga · Ukraine
Start dateApr 25, 2026
Kick-off12:00
Recent Form
Metalist Kharkiv
L
L
W
W
D
Yarud Mariupol
W
D
D
W
W
Recent matches · Metalist Kharkiv
Friendly ClubsJul 09
Red Bull Salzburg
Metalist Kharkiv
40
L
Persha LigaJun 01
Chornomorets Odesa
Metalist Kharkiv
10
L
Persha LigaMay 26
FC Chernihiv
Metalist Kharkiv
12
W
Persha LigaMay 23
Metalist Kharkiv
FK UCSA
20
W
Persha LigaMay 17
Vorskla Poltava
Metalist Kharkiv
11
D
Persha LigaMay 09
Metalist Kharkiv
Podillya Khmelnitsky
30
W
Persha LigaMay 02
Nyva Ternopil
Metalist Kharkiv
20
L
Persha LigaApr 25
Metalist Kharkiv
Yarud Mariupol
11
D
Persha LigaApr 17
Metalist Kharkiv
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
12
L
Persha LigaApr 13
Livyi Bereh FC
Metalist Kharkiv
30
L
Persha LigaApr 07
Metalist Kharkiv
FC Chernihiv
21
W
Persha LigaApr 03
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk
Metalist Kharkiv
00
D
Persha LigaMar 28
Metalist Kharkiv
Viktoria Nikolaevka
21
W
Persha LigaMar 22
Probiy Gorodenka
Metalist Kharkiv
12
W
Persha LigaNov 30
Metalist Kharkiv
Agrobiznes Volochisk
01
L
Recent matches · Yarud Mariupol
Persha LigaJun 01
Yarud Mariupol
Viktoria Nikolaevka
20
W
Persha LigaMay 23
Podillya Khmelnitsky
Yarud Mariupol
00
D
Persha LigaMay 17
Yarud Mariupol
Probiy Gorodenka
00
D
Persha LigaMay 09
Nyva Ternopil
Yarud Mariupol
03
W
Persha LigaMay 01
Yarud Mariupol
Agrobiznes Volochisk
40
W
Persha LigaApr 25
Metalist Kharkiv
Yarud Mariupol
11
D
Persha LigaApr 19
Yarud Mariupol
Inhulets
11
D
Persha LigaApr 12
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Yarud Mariupol
21
L
Persha LigaApr 08
Yarud Mariupol
Metalurg Zaporizhya
21
W
Persha LigaApr 03
Livyi Bereh FC
Yarud Mariupol
31
L
Persha LigaMar 28
Yarud Mariupol
Chornomorets Odesa
11
D
Persha LigaMar 21
FC Chernihiv
Yarud Mariupol
14
W
CupMar 18
FC Chernihiv
Yarud Mariupol
00
D
CupMar 17
FC Chernihiv
Yarud Mariupol
00
D
Persha LigaNov 30
Yarud Mariupol
FK UCSA
11
D
Odds
Full Time Result
Head-to-Head · summary
2
Metalist Kharkiv
1
Draws
0
Yarud Mariupol
Previous meetings
Persha LigaApr 25
Metalist Kharkiv
Yarud Mariupol
11
Persha LigaOct 09
Yarud Mariupol
Metalist Kharkiv
01
CupAug 18
Yarud Mariupol
Metalist Kharkiv
13
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nyva Ternopil00000:000
2Oleksandria00000:000
3Metal Kharkiv00000:000
4Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk00000:000
5Lokomotiv Kyiv00000:000
6Inhulets00000:000
7Agrobiznes Volochisk00000:000
8Viktoria Nikolaevka00000:000
9Yarud Mariupol00000:000
10FC Chernihiv00000:000
11Poltava FC00000:000
12FK UCSA00000:000
13Polissya Zhytomyr 200000:000
14FC Kolos Kovalivka 200000:000
15FC Kulykiv00000:000
16Probiy Gorodenka00000:000
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Metalist Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol Prediction (Apr 25, 2026)

Metalist Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol prediction for the Persha Liga match on Apr 25, 2026. Metalist Kharkiv is the favorite with a 52% win probability, while the draw and away win both sit at 24%.

Team Form

Metalist Kharkiv's recent form reads L, L, W, W, D in their last five matches. Yarud Mariupol enters this contest with a stronger run of W, D, D, W, W in their last five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last two head-to-head meetings, Metalist Kharkiv has won both encounters. The most recent clash was on Oct 9, 2025, where Metalist won 1-0 away. The only other meeting was in the Cup on Aug 18, 2021, with a 3-1 away victory for Metalist. Overall, Metalist Kharkiv leads the H2H with two wins and no defeats.

League Table Positions

Metalist Kharkiv (Metal Kharkiv) sits 7th in the Persha Liga with 37 points from 30 matches, while Yarud Mariupol is 9th with 36 points. The home side has collected 20 points from 15 home games, compared to Yarud's 14 points from 15 away trips. The table shows a minimal gap, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture.

Win Probability: Metalist Kharkiv or Yarud Mariupol?

Based on the head-to-head record, league standings, and home advantage, Metalist Kharkiv has a 52% chance to win, a draw has a 24% probability, and Yarud Mariupol has a 24% chance. The numbers clearly favor the home team, but the draw is a real possibility given the tight league positions.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available at the moment. Our analysis, built on the available stats, points to a home victory for Metalist Kharkiv. The prediction is a Metalist Kharkiv win, though the narrow margin in the league suggests a closely fought encounter.

Metalist Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol — FAQ

Who will win Metalist Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol?
Metalist Kharkiv has a 52% chance of winning, a draw is at 24%, and Yarud Mariupol has a 24% chance. Based on the data, Metalist is the favorite.
What is the win probability for Metalist Kharkiv?
Metalist Kharkiv has a 52% chance to win this match. This is based on their superior head-to-head record (two wins in two meetings) and a slightly higher league position.
When is the Metalist Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol match?
The match is on April 25, 2026, at 12:00 UTC, in the Persha Liga competition.
What are the odds for the match?
Bookmakers' odds are currently unavailable. When they appear, Metalist Kharkiv is expected to be the favorite.
What is the head-to-head record between Metalist Kharkiv and Yarud Mariupol?
Metalist Kharkiv has won their last two meetings against Yarud Mariupol, with scores of 1-0 (2025) and 3-1 (2021). Yarud Mariupol has never beaten Metalist Kharkiv.
Metalist Kharkiv – Yarud Mariupol · match page