Merani Tbilisi - Gori prediction 13 November 2025

The Merani Tbilisi vs Gori prediction for the 3 Liga match on November 13, 2025, at 10:00 UTC sees Gori as the slight favourite with a 40% win probability. The draw stands at 30%, while Merani Tbilisi has a 30% chance. The data points to a tight contest, but Gori's higher-division background and head-to-head edge give them a narrow advantage.

Team Form

Merani Tbilisi's last five results: L, D, W, L, W (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their most recent outing was a 6-1 cup defeat away to Guria Lanchkhuti, but league form has been steadier with a 1-1 home draw against FC Irao Tbilisi and a 1-0 win at WIT Georgia. Overall, the team has mixed results but picks up points consistently.

Gori's last five: W, D, L, L, L (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). The sole win came away at Merani Martvili (2-0) in Erovnuli 2, followed by a 1-1 draw at Kolkheti Poti. Consecutive defeats since then highlight a downward trend, but those losses came against competitive Erovnuli 2 sides.

Head-to-Head Record

The only prior meeting between the clubs was on June 8, 2025, in the 3 Liga. Gori won 2-1 at home. This result suggests Gori can handle Merani Tbilisi, though the dynamics may differ with the venue now in Tbilisi.

League Table Positions

Merani Tbilisi sit 7th in the 3 Liga overall standings with 24 points from 14 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). At home, they have 10 points from 6 matches (3W, 1D, 2L). Gori are not in the 3 Liga table; they compete in Erovnuli 2, Georgia's second tier, which typically implies a higher calibre of opponent. This league gap is a key factor in the win probability assessment.

Win Probability: Merani Tbilisi or Gori?

Based on the available data, the win probability breaks down as follows:

• Gori win: 40%
• Draw: 30%
• Merani Tbilisi win: 30%

Gori's higher division status and their 2-1 victory in the only previous head-to-head give them the edge. However, their recent form (three losses in five) and Merani's home advantage balance the scales to a degree. Merani Tbilisi have won two of their last five and are a respectable 8th in the home table, keeping the probabilities close. The draw probability reflects the often tight nature of cup-style cross-division fixtures.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific bookmaker odds for this fixture were not listed in the available data, so no odds comparison is possible. Based purely on the statistics, Gori enter the match as the narrow favourite, but the high draw chance suggests a lack of clear superiority. The prediction leans toward Gori to edge the contest, though a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.