The Meiji University vs Nihon University prediction for the Regional League match on Jun 23, 2026, points to Meiji University as the favorite with a 55% win probability. The game kicked off at 05:00 UTC and ended in a 1-1 draw, but the pre-match analysis strongly favored the home side based on form and head-to-head data.
Meiji University's recent form before this fixture showed solidity. In their last four matches (excluding the Nihon University clash), they recorded two wins, one draw, and one loss. The results were:
Nihon University's recent outings were poor. Their last five matches (including some after this fixture) returned two draws and three losses, with a sequence of L, L, D, L, D. The only points came from draws against Shibuya City FC and Meiji University itself. Defensively they were fragile, conceding multiple goals in most games.
The head-to-head record between these sides consists of just one previous meeting, which ended in a 1-1 draw. That encounter, also in the Regional League, was the very same match covered here. Before this fixture, there was no historical data to separate them, so the draw was a known possible outcome.
Calculating the win chances based on form, home advantage, and the limited H2H, the probabilities are:
Meiji University's stronger recent results and the home factor made them the clear favorite. Nihon University's away struggles and overall poor form reduced their chances significantly. The 25% draw probability reflects the single H2H draw and Meiji's own two draws in their last four outings.
No bookmaker odds are available in the provided data for this fixture. The prediction based on the stats is a home win for Meiji University, but the actual result was a 1-1 draw. The numbers suggested Meiji University had the best chance, yet Nihon University managed to hold them to a draw, showing that even clear favorites can be held.