KS Ozarowianka Ozarow Mazowiecki - Mazur Karczew prediction 19 September 2025

Our Mazur Karczew vs KS Ozarowianka Ozarow Mazowiecki prediction for the IV Liga clash on Sep 19, 2025, gives the home side a clear advantage. Mazur Karczew are in top form and hold a 62% win probability, while the visitors have struggled for results. Read on for detailed betting tips and analysis.

Team Form

Mazur Karczew have been dominant in recent weeks. Their last five matches produced four wins and one draw: a 3-0 home victory over Victoria Sulejowek, a 2-1 win at Mszczonowianka Mszczonow, a 3-3 draw at home to MKS Piaseczno, a 3-2 home defeat of Talent Warsaw, and a 2-1 away success against Weszlo.

In contrast, KS Ozarowianka Ozarow Mazowiecki are on a poor run. Over their last five games, they managed just one draw and four defeats: an away loss 3-1 at Weszlo, a 6-5 defeat at Ursus Warszawa, a heavy 0-5 home loss to Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki, a 2-2 draw at Oskar Przysucha, and a 1-4 home reversal versus Victoria Sulejowek. The away side have conceded 18 goals in those five matches, highlighting serious defensive issues.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited to just one previous meeting. KS Ozarowianka Ozarow Mazowiecki won that encounter 2-1 at their home ground. That means Mazur Karczew have yet to register a win in this fixture (0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). However, that result was influenced by the home advantage for KS Ozarowianka Ozarow Mazowiecki, and this time the match is at Mazur Karczew’s home.

Win Probability: Mazur Karczew or KS Ozarowianka Ozarow Mazowiecki?

Using the available data – recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage – we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. Mazur Karczew are given a 62% chance to win, a draw is estimated at 23%, and KS Ozarowianka Ozarow Mazowiecki have just a 15% chance.

Mazur Karczew’s strong form (4 wins, 1 draw in the last five) and the contrast with the visitors’ poor run (4 losses, 1 draw) are the main drivers of this calculation. The only previous head-to-head result gives some hope to the away team, but their current defensive frailty makes an away win unlikely. Home advantage also significantly boosts Mazur Karczew’s prospects.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds for this IV Liga fixture are not yet available. When odds are released, Mazur Karczew are expected to be priced as short-priced favorites. Our prediction, based entirely on statistical evidence, is a home win for Mazur Karczew. The most likely match outcome is a home victory, possibly with a few goals given the leaky away defense.