Mazur Karczew vs Hutnik Warszawa prediction for the IV Liga match on Mar 21, 2026 at 12:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Mazur Karczew are the favorites with a 55% win probability. Hereโs our full betting preview.
Mazur Karczew come into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results are W, W, D, W, W, with four wins and one draw. They beat Victoria Sulejowek 3-0, won away at Mszczonowianka Mszczonow 2-1, drew 3-3 with MKS Piaseczno, beat Talent Warsaw 3-2, and won 2-1 at Weszlo. The home side is unbeaten in five matches and scoring freely.
Hutnik Warszawaโs recent form is mixed: W, W, L, L, D. They won their last two games โ a 5-1 away victory at Victoria Sulejowek and a 2-1 home win over Mszczonowianka Mszczonow. Before that, they lost 3-1 at MKS Piaseczno, suffered a 4-1 home defeat to Weszlo, and drew 2-2 with Legionovia Legionowo. The away side has been inconsistent, especially on the road.
These teams have met only once before. On Aug 23, 2025, Hutnik Warszawa won 3-0 away at Mazur Karczew. That result gives Hutnik a psychological edge, but Mazur Karczewโs current form is far stronger than it was back then.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Mazur Karczew 55%, draw 25%, Hutnik Warszawa 20%. The home sideโs dominant recent form and home advantage are the main factors. Hutnikโs head-to-head win and their recent back-to-back victories keep them in contention, but Mazur Karczewโs consistency makes them clear favorites.
Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this IV Liga fixture. Based on the available stats, our prediction is a home win for Mazur Karczew. A draw is the next most likely outcome, while an away win would be a surprise given the form gap. Betting tip: if odds become available, backing Mazur Karczew to win offers value.