The Mauaense SP Women vs Sao Bento SP U20 Women prediction for the Campeonato Paulista Women match on October 4, 2025, at 18:00, points to a home win. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Mauaense SP Women have a 55% probability of winning, while Sao Bento SP U20 Women have just a 20% chance, with a 25% chance of a draw.
Mauaense SP Women come into this match with mixed results in their last five outings: L, W, W, D, L. They suffered a 3-0 defeat to Sao Paulo SP Women in the Copa do Brasil Women, but recorded back-to-back wins over JC Futebol Clube Itacoatiara Women (3-0 and 1-0). A 2-2 draw with SERC Brasil Farroupilha RS Women and a 1-0 loss to Criciuma Women complete their recent form.
Sao Bento SP U20 Women are struggling, with a form line of L, L, L, D in their last four matches. Heavy defeats to Sao Paulo SP U20 Women (5-0) and Corinthians SP U20 Women (3-0) were followed by a 1-0 loss to Mauaense SP Women in the reverse fixture. Their only point came from a 0-0 draw with Pinda Sport Clube SP Women.
The only previous meeting between these sides took place on October 4, 2025, when Mauaense SP Women won 1-0 away against Sao Bento SP U20 Women. That result gives Mauaense a clear psychological edge heading into this fixture.
After analyzing the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Mauaense SP Women 55%, draw 25%, Sao Bento SP U20 Women 20%. Mauaense enjoy home advantage, have a superior recent form with two wins in their last five compared to zero wins in four for the visitors, and won the only head-to-head clash. Sao Bento's poor defensive record and lack of goals make an away victory unlikely.
Bookmakers' odds for this match are not currently available. Based on the stats, our Mauaense SP Women vs Sao Bento SP U20 Women prediction is a home win. Mauaense's stronger form and H2H success make them the logical favorites to take all three points.