Martinenc vs UD San Mauro prediction: The Regional League (Spain) match on Apr 11, 2026 at 17:00 sees Martinenc as the favorite with a 45% win probability. Both teams come into this game with mixed form, but the home sideโs recent results give them the edge. Here we break down the team form, H2H record, and probabilities to guide your betting decisions.
Martinenc have collected 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five outings. Their most recent results: a 2-3 loss to Pobla Mafumet, a 1-0 win over Sabadell B, a 1-0 away victory at Jupiter, a 1-1 draw away to UD San Mauro, and a 1-0 home win against SP Villafranca. At home, they won three of those matches and kept two clean sheets.
UD San Mauro have registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses across their last five games. They lost 1-2 to Pobla Mafumet, won 2-1 at AE Prat, lost 0-1 at home to AE Prat, drew 1-1 at Santfeliuenc FC, and drew 1-1 at home against Martinenc. Away from home, they won once and drew once, but also suffered a loss.
These sides have met once before โ a 1-1 draw at UD San Mauro on Apr 11, 2026. That match ended level, and the only H2H match provides no clear pattern, though both teams scored. Martinencโs home advantage could be the differentiator this time.
Based on form, the home factor, and the limited H2H record, we calculate the following win probabilities:
Martinencโs 3 home wins in 4 recent home matches (including clean sheets) give them a significant advantage. UD San Mauro have only one away victory in their last five trips, and their overall defensive frailty on the road makes them vulnerable. The draw cannot be dismissed โ as seen in their previous meeting โ but the numbers lean towards a home success.
No odds are available from bookmakers in the provided data. Nevertheless, our analysis based purely on the stats suggests Martinenc are the more likely winners. With home form reading W-W-D-W in the last four regional league matches at their own ground, they should create enough chances. A 1-0 or 2-1 home victory is the most probable scoreline, though a repeat 1-1 draw stays in play. For betting tips, a home win or a double chance (Martinenc or Draw) offers value if you can find a market.