Mushuc Runa - Manta FC prediction 11 April 2026
Mushuc Runa
Manta FCMushuc Runa
Orense SCMacaraMushuc RunaMushuc RunaIndependiente Del ValleUniversidad Catolica del EcuadorMushuc RunaGualaceo SCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaSD Aucas QuitoMushuc RunaGuayaquil CityLeones Del NorteMushuc RunaMushuc RunaLDU QuitoDelfin SCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaDeportivo CuencaBarcelona GuayaquilMushuc RunaMushuc RunaTecnico UniversitarioMushuc RunaManta FCLibertad LojaMushuc RunaGuayaquil CityManta FCManta FCDelfin SCManta FCOrense SCIndependiente Del ValleManta FCManta FCLibertad LojaSD Aucas QuitoManta FC9 de OctubreManta FC9 de OctubreManta FCManta FCEmelecManta FCMacaraBarcelona GuayaquilManta FCManta FCUniversidad Catolica del EcuadorLeones Del NorteManta FCManta FCDeportivo CuencaMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc RunaMushuc RunaManta FCManta FCMushuc Runa| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente Del Valle | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 49:20 | +29 | 49 |
| 2 |  SD Aucas Quito | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | +3 | 35 |
| 3 |  Barcelona Guayaquil | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | +8 | 34 |
| 4 |  Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 31:18 | +13 | 32 |
| 5 |  Macara | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
| 6 |  LDU Quito | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 19:16 | +3 | 28 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 |  Leones Del Norte | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21:20 | +1 | 27 |
| 9 |  Emelec | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 27 |
| 10 |  Guayaquil City | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 24 |
| 12 |  Tecnico Universitario | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 19:21 | -2 | 23 |
| 13 |  Orense SC | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 |  Delfin SC | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 23 |
| 15 |  Libertad | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 7:25 | -18 | 13 |
Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa Prediction (Apr 11, 2026)
The Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa prediction for April 11, 2026, in Ecuador's Serie A points to a tight contest. Based on league positions, recent form, and head-to-head record, Mushuc Runa enters as the slight favorite with a 35% win probability, while a draw is also highly likely at 35%. Manta FC, despite home advantage, is given a 30% chance.
Team Form
Manta FC's last five matches show inconsistency: a heavy 0-4 loss to Independiente Del Valle, a 2-1 home win over Libertad Loja, a 1-3 defeat at SD Aucas Quito, and back-to-back 0-0 draws with 9 de Octubre in the Cup. That's one win, two draws, and two losses.
Mushuc Runa's recent form is similarly mixed. They won 3-2 away at Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, lost 0-1 at Gualaceo SC in the Cup, drew 0-0 at home with SD Aucas Quito, drew 2-2 with Guayaquil City, and lost 1-3 at Leones Del Norte. Also one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five.
Head-to-Head Record
In 20 previous meetings, Manta FC has won 4 times, Mushuc Runa 7, with 9 draws. The most recent clash on April 11, 2026, saw Mushuc Runa win 1-0 at home. However, when hosting, Manta FC won the last two H2Hs: 3-0 in November 2025 and 2-1 in May 2025. The head-to-head history suggests a draw is a common outcome.
League Table Positions
Mushuc Runa sits 12th in the Serie A overall standings with 21 points from 17 matches (5 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses). Manta FC is not in the top 12, indicating a lower position and a weaker campaign so far. The home/away splits further highlight Mushuc Runa's relative strength, especially at home where they rank 7th with only one loss in 9 games.
Win Probability: Manta FC or Mushuc Runa?
After analyzing all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Manta FC 30%, Draw 35%, Mushuc Runa 35%. Mushuc Runa's higher league standing and better overall H2H record give them a slight edge. However, Manta FC's home advantage and recent home wins in this fixture balance the scales, making a stalemate the single most likely result. The total probability sums to 100%.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this match. Based purely on the stats, our Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa prediction leans toward a draw or a narrow away win. The form of both sides is almost identical, and the head-to-head is draw-heavy. A 1-1 scoreline or a 0-1 away victory are realistic outcomes. Caution is advised for bettors given the high draw probability.
Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa — FAQ
- Who will win Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa?
- Mushuc Runa has a 35% chance to win, Manta FC 30%, and the draw is at 35%. It's a very evenly matched contest, with a draw being just as likely as an away win.
- What is the win probability for Mushuc Runa?
- Mushuc Runa's win probability is 35%. This is based on their superior league position (12th vs Manta FC outside the top 12) and a better overall head-to-head record, though Manta's home form narrows the gap.
- When is the Manta FC vs Mushuc Runa match?
- The match is on April 11, 2026, at 19:00 UTC. It is a Serie A fixture in Ecuador.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds from bookmakers are not available at this time. Our analysis suggests a tight game, with Mushuc Runa slightly favored and a high chance of a draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Manta FC and Mushuc Runa?
- In 20 meetings, Manta FC won 4, Mushuc Runa won 7, and 9 matches ended in draws. The last two games at Manta FC's home were both won by the hosts.