9 de Octubre - Manta FC prediction 22 May 2026

The Manta FC vs 9 de Octubre prediction points to a tightly contested Cup match on May 22, 2026, with 9 de Octubre entering as the slight favourite at a 32% win probability, while a draw (40%) is the most likely outcome based on form and H2H data.

Team Form

Manta FC go into this game with inconsistent results: their last five outings read L, W, L, D, D. After a heavy 4-0 away defeat to Independiente Del Valle on July 4, they managed a 2-1 home win over Libertad Loja on May 30, then fell 3-1 at SD Aucas Quito on May 26, followed by back-to-back 0-0 draws against 9 de Octubre in the Cup on May 22.

9 de Octubre arrive unbeaten in their last five (D, W, D, D, D). Most recently they drew 1-1 away at LDU Portoviejo on July 4. Before that, a 2-1 home win against Cuniburo Vinotinto on June 9 and three consecutive draws: 0-0 at Atletico JBG on June 3, a thrilling 3-3 home draw with Deportivo Cuenca Juniors on May 30, and a 0-0 away draw at Independiente Juniors on May 25.

Head-to-Head Record

Over the last 10 meetings, 9 de Octubre hold a clear edge with 5 wins compared to Manta FC’s 2, alongside 3 draws. The most recent encounters – both on May 22, 2026 – ended 0-0. Prior to that, 9 de Octubre won 1-0 away in October 2023 and 2-1 at home in July 2023, while Manta FC last beat them 1-0 at 9 de Octubre’s ground in June 2023.

Win Probability: Manta FC or 9 de Octubre?

Based on the available data – recent form, head-to-head results, and home advantage – we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Manta FC win: 28%
• Draw: 40%
• 9 de Octubre win: 32%

9 de Octubre’s superior H2H record (5 wins to 2) and current unbeaten run (one win, four draws in the last five) give them a slight edge over Manta FC, who have won just once in their last five and lost twice heavily. The two recent 0-0 draws between the sides further support the high likelihood of a stalemate. Home advantage for Manta FC is factored in but does not outweigh the visitors’ consistency.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available in the data for this fixture. Taking into account all analysed factors, our match prediction is: a draw looks the safest call, with a low-scoring affair likely. 9 de Octubre appear the side more likely to nick a win if a winner emerges, but a repeat of the 0-0 scoreline seen twice already in 2026 cannot be ruled out.