The Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa prediction for the Premier League match on Apr 05, 2026, at 17:15 points to Maccabi Tel Aviv as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The game will be played at Sammy Ofer Stadium in Haifa, and based on head-to-head dominance, Maccabi Tel Aviv is the more likely winner despite recent form struggles.
Maccabi Tel Aviv come into this match with a poor run of results: L, W, D, L, L in their last five outings. A 1-0 friendly loss to FK IMT Novi Beograd, a 2-1 cup win at Hapoel Be'er Sheva, a 2-2 draw at Hapoel Petach Tikva, and back-to-back league defeats to Hapoel Be'er Sheva (4-2) and Beitar Jerusalem (1-2) highlight inconsistency. They have won only once in that stretch.
Hapoel Haifa's recent form is steadier: W, D, W, L, D. They beat Bnei Sakhnin 3-0, drew 1-1 at Maccabi Netanya, edged FC Ashdod 1-0, lost 2-0 at Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona, and drew 1-1 with Ironi Tiberias. Two wins and two draws from five shows a side hard to beat.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Maccabi Tel Aviv. In 31 meetings, Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 22, Hapoel Haifa just 1, with 8 draws. The most recent clash on Apr 05, 2026, saw Maccabi Tel Aviv win 4-1 away at Hapoel Haifa. Earlier in the season, they drew 0-0 at the same venue, and Maccabi Tel Aviv also recorded a 5-0 cup win and a 2-1 league victory at home. Hapoel Haifa have not beaten Maccabi Tel Aviv in any of the last five encounters.
League table data is not available for this match preview.
After analyzing form, head-to-head, and the home/away factor, we calculate the following win probabilities: Maccabi Tel Aviv 45%, draw 30%, Hapoel Haifa 25%. Maccabi Tel Aviv's historical dominance (22 wins to 1) and the fact they are the designated home side give them the edge, even though their recent form is poor. Hapoel Haifa's better recent results keep them competitive, but the gulf in H2H record is too large to ignore. The draw is a realistic outcome given both teams' tendency to share points in recent matches.
No odds are available from bookmakers for this fixture. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is a Maccabi Tel Aviv win. However, the prediction is made with caution due to their inconsistent form. A draw would not be a surprise, and Hapoel Haifa could snatch a point. The final prediction: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win, but with low confidence.