Lyon - Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC prediction 4 February 2026

The Lyon vs Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC prediction focuses on this Cup match on Feb 04, 2026, at 19:30. Based on recent form, head-to-head data, and Lyon’s home advantage, we calculate a 60% probability for a Lyon win, 25% for the draw, and 15% for Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC.

Team Form

Lyon’s last five home matches show a pattern of W, L, L, W, W — three wins and two losses. Their recent home victory over Auxerre (3-2) and a 4-2 win against Rennes underline a strong scoring ability, though a 0-4 defeat to Lens highlights occasional defensive fragility.

Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC’s away form in their last five outings is W, D, W, L, D — one win, two draws, and two losses. The 4-0 defeat at Troyes is a concern, while a 1-1 draw at Rouen shows some resilience. This mixed away record leaves them as underdogs in this matchup.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record consists of only one match: Lyon vs Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC on Feb 04, 2026, in the Cup. Lyon won 2-0, giving the home side a 100% win rate in this fixture.

Win Probability: Lyon or Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC?

No bookmaker odds are available in our dataset, so we derived the win probabilities from team form, division status, and home advantage. Lyon compete in Ligue 1, while Stade Lavallois play in Ligue 2, which strongly tilts the balance. Lyon’s 60% win chance reflects their superior class and home field. The draw is given 25%, and Stade Lavallois a 15% chance to cause an upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this Cup match were not included in the source data. Our prediction aligns with the form and historical meeting: a home victory for Lyon is the expected outcome. The analysis suggests a comfortable win for the higher-division side.