Luis Angel Firpo - CD FAS prediction 19 July 2026

The Luis Angel Firpo vs CD FAS prediction for this Cup match on July 19, 2026, points to an extremely tight contest. Based on our analysis of odds, form, and head-to-head record, CD FAS has a 34% chance of winning, a draw is at 34%, and Luis Angel Firpo has a 32% probability.

Team Form

Luis Angel Firpo's last five matches show two wins, two draws, and one loss (W2 D2 L1). They recently lost 0-1 at home to CD Aguila, but bounced back with a 2-1 away win at Aguila. A 1-1 draw with Isidro Metapan and a 2-1 away win at Metapan followed, before a 1-1 draw at Aguila. Across these five games, Firpo scored 6 goals and conceded 5, averaging 1.2 goals scored per match.

CD FAS also recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five (W2 D2 L1). They impressed with a 3-0 away win at CD Aguila and a 2-0 home victory over Municipal Limeno. A 0-1 away loss to Limeno and back-to-back 1-1 draws against Cacahuatique complete their recent form. CD FAS found the net 7 times and conceded only 3 in this period, showing slightly better defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

In 19 previous meetings, CD FAS holds a clear advantage with 10 wins to Luis Angel Firpo's 5, alongside 4 draws. The last five encounters underline this trend:

• Apr 26, 2026: Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 CD FAS
• Mar 01, 2026: CD FAS 2-0 Luis Angel Firpo
• Nov 09, 2025: Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 CD FAS
• Sep 08, 2025: CD FAS 2-3 Luis Angel Firpo
• Mar 27, 2025: Luis Angel Firpo 1-2 CD FAS

CD FAS has won three of these five, with one draw and one Firpo victory. In those five matches, both teams scored 8 goals each, highlighting how competitive this fixture has been recently.

Win Probability: Luis Angel Firpo or CD FAS?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Luis Angel Firpo 32%, Draw 34%, CD FAS 34%. The base odds implied a nearly even split after removing the bookmaker margin (roughly 34% home win, 34% draw, 32% away win). We then adjusted for CD FAS's dominant head-to-head record (10 wins in 19 games) and the balanced recent form, shifting the away win probability up slightly to 34% and the home win down to 32%. Home advantage for Firpo keeps the draw probability high. Overall, CD FAS is the marginal favorite to win this Cup tie.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match very closely. Selected odds show a Luis Angel Firpo win at 2.45, the draw at 2.10, and a CD FAS victory at 3.10. Some bookmakers offer the draw as low as 2.10, while others have CD FAS at 2.35, reflecting the uncertainty around the outcome.

Our Luis Angel Firpo vs CD FAS prediction: with the probabilities so evenly balanced, the safest betting tip is to back CD FAS on the double chance (win or draw). A draw is a very realistic outcome, but CD FAS's historical edge makes them the more likely winner if there is one. For value seekers, a draw at odds around 2.10 aligns well with the 34% probability.