LPS HD Clinceni - CSM Alexandria prediction 11 February 2026

LPS HD Clinceni vs CSM Alexandria prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on February 11, 2026, points to a tight contest with the home side holding a slight edge. Based on head-to-head and recent form, LPS HD Clinceni has a 45% win probability, a draw is at 25%, and CSM Alexandria has a 30% chance. The match ended 2-1 for LPS HD Clinceni.

Team Form

LPS HD Clinceni approach this fixture with inconsistent results. Their last five matches read L, L, W, L, D. The most recent was a 0-6 friendly loss to Concordia Chiajna on July 11. In Liga III, they suffered a 1-2 home defeat to CSM Ramnicu Valcea on May 22, beat CS Vulturii Farcasesti 3-1 on May 8, lost 0-4 away to CSM Ramnicu Valcea on April 24, and drew 1-1 with CS Minerul Lupeni on April 17. That’s one win, one draw and three losses in five outings.

CSM Alexandria show a similar mixed bag. Their last five form strings are L, W, D, D, L. They lost 1-2 away at Acs Axi Arena Adunatii Copaceni on May 1, won 3-2 away at Progresul Spartac 1944 on April 18, drew 2-2 away at Acso Filiasi on March 27, drew 1-1 at home with CSM Cetatea Turnu Magurele on March 20, and lost 1-2 away to LPS HD Clinceni (this fixture) on February 11. Two draws and one win show slightly more resilience than the hosts’ recent output.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record between these teams is close but favors LPS HD Clinceni: 3 home wins, 2 away wins, and no draws in five previous meetings. Most notably, LPS HD Clinceni won three of four home clashes against CSM Alexandria, including a 1-0 cup win on July 30, 2025, a 2-1 league win on September 12, 2025, and a 0-3 home loss on November 15, 2024. The only away game in the sample was a 2-1 win for CSM Alexandria on November 21, 2025. The latest encounter, the subject of this prediction, saw a 2-1 home victory.

League Table Positions

No league table data is provided for either team. The fixture is a Friendly Clubs match, so standings are not applicable.

Win Probability: LPS HD Clinceni or CSM Alexandria?

We calculate win probabilities using available data – recent form, head-to-head, and home advantage. LPS HD Clinceni have a poor recent run (1W-1D-3L) but a dominant home H2H record (3 wins from 4 home games against CSM Alexandria). CSM Alexandria’s form is marginally better (1W-2D-2L) but they struggle away at this ground. No bookmaker odds are available, so we base the estimate purely on stats. The blend gives LPS HD Clinceni a 45% chance to win, a draw 25%, and CSM Alexandria 30%. The home side is the narrow favorite, largely because of the H2H dominance at this venue.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are listed in the data source for this Friendly Clubs match. The pre-match analysis points to a low-scoring affair where the home H2H factor outweighs recent form dips. The final prediction: lean towards LPS HD Clinceni to win, with the result (2-1) confirming the home edge.