Lokomotiv Sofia - Radnik Surdulica prediction 14 January 2026

For the Lokomotiv Sofia vs Radnik Surdulica prediction on Jan 14, 2026, in the Friendly Clubs competition, the home side Lokomotiv Sofia enters as the slight favorite. Based on recent form and the advantage of playing at home, we give Lokomotiv Sofia a 45% chance of winning, with the draw at 30% and Radnik Surdulica at 25%.

Team Form

Lokomotiv Sofia comes into this match with mixed but resilient results. Their last five games have produced two wins, two draws, and one loss (W, L, W, D, D). The most recent outing was a 2-1 friendly victory over KF Drita. Prior to that, in league play, they suffered a 3-0 away defeat to Spartak Varna, beat Slavia Sofia 2-0 at home, and recorded back-to-back draws — 1-1 at home to Beroe Stara Zagora and 2-2 away at Montana. That form shows an ability to score but also some defensive vulnerabilities, especially on the road.

Radnik Surdulica travels with a two-game friendly winning streak intact. Their last five across all competitions read W, W, L, L, D. They defeated Novi Pazar 1-0 and Buducnost Podgorica 3-1 in recent friendlies, but earlier suffered heavy defeats — 0-5 to Levski Sofia and 0-5 at Partizan Belgrade in the SuperLiga. A goalless draw at home against Crvena Zvezda also appears in the stretch. The visitors have shown improvement in attack lately, but those heavy losses indicate inconsistency.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Lokomotiv Sofia and Radnik Surdulica. The match on Jan 14, 2026, represents the first-ever meeting of these two clubs. Therefore, historical matchups offer no insight for this prediction, and we rely solely on current form and situational factors.

Win Probability: Lokomotiv Sofia or Radnik Surdulica?

We calculate the win probabilities for this match as follows: Lokomotiv Sofia win — 45%, draw — 30%, Radnik Surdulica win — 25%. These percentages are derived from the teams' form, home advantage, and the absence of any head-to-head data.

Lokomotiv Sofia’s home performances have been relatively steady, with a win and two draws in their last three home matches across competitions. Radnik Surdulica’s two most recent away results are a 1-0 win (friendly) and a 0-5 thrashing (SuperLiga), so their travel form is questionable. The home side’s slight statistical edge and the familiar surroundings tilt the probability in their favor, but not overwhelmingly. A draw is a very plausible outcome, given the tight margins in form.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this contest are not available in the provided dataset, so we cannot compare the market view. Based purely on the statistics at hand, Lokomotiv Sofia appears the more likely winner. Radnik Surdulica’s recent friendly wins are encouraging, but they have been inconsistent when facing stronger or similarly matched opponents. Our match prediction leans towards a home win, with the draw as the next most probable scenario.