Nottingham Forest - Liverpool prediction 22 February 2026

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest prediction for the Premier League match on Feb 22, 2026. Liverpool enter this fixture as the clear favorites with a 55% win probability, while Nottingham Forest have just a 20% chance of an away victory. The draw is rated at 25%.

Team Form

Liverpool's recent form has been inconsistent, with a record of D, L, D, L, W in their last five matches. At Anfield, however, they remain unbeaten in their last three home games (1 win, 2 draws), including a 3-1 victory over Crystal Palace on Apr 25. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw at home to Brentford on May 24.

Nottingham Forest share an identical overall form pattern: D, L, D, L, W. Their away performances have been poor, with two defeats in the last three road trips – a 3-2 loss at Manchester United and a 4-0 thrashing at Aston Villa in the Europa League. The one bright spot was a 3-1 win at Chelsea on May 4.

Head-to-Head Record

Liverpool hold a commanding head-to-head advantage, winning three of the last five meetings. Nottingham Forest have managed just one victory in that span, with the other match ending in a draw. The most recent clash on Feb 22, 2026, saw Liverpool win 1-0 away. Earlier this season, Forest shocked Liverpool with a 3-0 win at Anfield in November 2025. The overall H2H record across all competitions shows 5 Liverpool wins, 1 draw, and 2 Forest wins.

Win Probability: Liverpool or Nottingham Forest?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Liverpool win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Nottingham Forest win: 20%

Liverpool's home advantage is the decisive factor. They are unbeaten in their last three at Anfield, while Forest have lost two of their last three away games. The head-to-head record also strongly favors the Reds, with three wins in the last five encounters. Although both teams have identical recent form lines, Liverpool's superior home resilience and historical dominance tip the scales firmly in their favor.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not currently available in our data. However, based on the statistical analysis above, Liverpool are the expected winners. The most likely outcome is a home victory, with the draw being the next most probable result. Punters looking for betting tips should consider the home win market, but always gamble responsibly.