Ligorna - ASD Chisola Calcio prediction 10 May 2026

Our Ligorna vs ASD Chisola Calcio prediction for May 10 focuses on this Serie D encounter. Ligorna enters as the clear favorite with a calculated 60% win probability, while ASD Chisola Calcio holds a 15% chance and the draw stands at 25%. All data is drawn from recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings.

Team Form

Ligorna's recent form at home has been dominant. In their last three matches before this fixture, they secured a 9–1 demolition of SSD Novaromentin on May 3, followed a 1–1 draw away to Asti on April 26, and a 2–1 win over Biellese on April 19. Over those outings, they scored 12 goals and conceded only 3, showcasing sharp attacking play and defensive solidity.

ASD Chisola Calcio's away form shows mixed results. In their last four road games prior to this clash, they beat Valenzana Mado 3–2 (May 3), won 4–2 at home against Lavagnese (April 26), lost 2–3 at Gozzano (April 19), and drew 0–0 away to Ligorna (April 12). That gives them two wins, one draw, and one defeat, indicating vulnerability on the road against stronger opposition.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head heavily favors Ligorna. In seven meetings, Ligorna has won five, with two draws, and ASD Chisola Calcio has yet to register a single victory. The most recent clash (April 12, 2026) ended 0–0, but Ligorna’s prior home H2Hs include a 4–0 win (November 30, 2025), a 1–0 win (November 10, 2024), and a 2–2 draw (December 16, 2023). This record underlines Ligorna’s psychological edge and ability to control the fixture.

League Table Positions

Ligorna sits second in the Serie D standings with 72 points from 34 matches (21 wins, 9 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 64 goals and conceded only 26, giving them a +38 goal difference. At home, they are particularly formidable: 13 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, with 41 goals scored and 12 conceded.

ASD Chisola Calcio is fifth with 55 points (16 wins, 7 draws, 11 losses), 44 goals for and 36 against. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, netting 18 goals and conceding 21. The 17-point gap and significant home advantage reinforce Ligorna’s superiority on paper.

Win Probability: Ligorna or ASD Chisola Calcio?

Based on all available data, the win probabilities are: Ligorna 60%, Draw 25%, ASD Chisola Calcio 15%. This calculation reflects Ligorna’s near-perfect home record, their unbeaten head-to-head history, and current form. Chisola’s recent away performances and the historical gap justify the low away-win chance. The draw remains a plausible outcome given the two draws in their last two H2H meetings, but Ligorna’s scoring power at home makes a home win the most likely result.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, no bookmaker odds are available in our data set for this fixture. However, based on the statistical analysis, Ligorna is the clear favourite. Our prediction is a home win for Ligorna. The combination of Ligorna’s unstoppable home form, the head-to-head dominance, and the league table gap points firmly to three points for the hosts.