IFK Goteborg - Levadia Tallinn prediction 21 July 2026

Our IFK Goteborg vs Levadia Tallinn prediction for the UEFA Conference League Qualification match on July 21, 2026, at 17:00 UTC, gives IFK Goteborg a 52% chance of winning, with a draw at 28% and Levadia Tallinn at 20%. The match will be played at IFK Goteborg's home stadium, and the bookmakers heavily favor the Swedish side, but recent form suggests a closer contest.

Team Form

IFK Goteborg

IFK Goteborg's last five matches in all competitions: a 2-1 home win over Brommapojkarna (Allsvenskan), a 0-4 away loss to Malmo FF (Allsvenskan), a 1-2 home loss to AIK (Allsvenskan), a 1-2 home loss to Ham-Kam (Friendly), and a 1-1 home draw with Valerenga (Friendly). That run includes just one victory, three defeats, and eight goals conceded. The team has struggled for consistency, especially at home where they lost to AIK and Ham-Kam.

Levadia Tallinn

Levadia Tallinn arrive with impressive momentum: a 5-0 home win over Caernarfon Town (UEFA Conference League Qualification), a 5-0 away win at Caernarfon Town, a 3-1 away win at JK Narva Trans (Meistriliiga), a 1-2 home loss to Flora Tallinn (Meistriliiga), and a 1-1 home draw with JK Nomme Kalju (Meistriliiga). They have won three of their last five, scoring 15 goals and keeping three clean sheets. Notably, the two 5-0 victories came in this same competition, showing their capability at this level.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between IFK Goteborg and Levadia Tallinn. This will be their first ever meeting.

Win Probability: IFK Goteborg or Levadia Tallinn?

Using the average bookmaker odds (home win 1.42, draw 2.50, away win 5.50), the implied probabilities after removing the margin are 56.6% for IFK Goteborg, 29.0% for the draw, and 14.4% for Levadia Tallinn. However, IFK Goteborg's poor recent form (one win in five) and Levadia Tallinn's strong run (three wins in five, including two 5-0 wins in this competition) warrant an adjustment. We therefore set the probabilities at 52% for a home win, 28% for a draw, and 20% for an away win. So, IFK Goteborg has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Levadia Tallinn has a 20% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are around 1.41 for an IFK Goteborg win, with draw odds ranging from 2.28 to 5.00, and Levadia Tallinn to win at 5.00 to 6.88. Bookmakers clearly see IFK Goteborg as the favorite. Based on the stats, IFK Goteborg are the more likely winners, but Levadia Tallinn's attacking form and confidence from the qualifying rounds make them a dangerous opponent. Our final prediction is a home win, but the draw and away win probabilities are high enough to suggest a cautious approach for bettors.