JK Nomme Kalju 2 - Levadia Tallinn II prediction 18 July 2026

Levadia Tallinn II vs JK Nomme Kalju 2 prediction for the Esiliiga match on July 18, 2026, at 16:00. Based on our analysis, Levadia Tallinn II has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and JK Nomme Kalju 2 has a 30% chance. The home side is slightly favored after adjusting for recent form and head-to-head record.

Team Form

Levadia Tallinn II come into this match with strong recent results, winning four of their last five games (W-W-W-L-W). In their most recent outing, they beat Tallinna Kalev 3-2 at home on July 11. Earlier, they thrashed Flora Tallinn II 4-0 away and FC Tallinn 4-0 at home. The only blip was a 1-3 home loss to Tartu JK Welco Elekter. At home, Levadia Tallinn II have won three of their last four, scoring 10 goals in those wins.

JK Nomme Kalju 2 have struggled for consistency, with a form line of D-D-L-L-W. They drew 2-2 at Viimsi MRJK and 2-2 at home against Elva, before suffering heavy defeats: 1-5 at Tallinna Kalev and 1-2 at FC Maardu. Their lone recent win was a 4-1 home victory over Nomme United 2. Away from home, they have failed to win in their last three, conceding nine goals in those matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these sides is perfectly balanced: 2 wins each and 2 draws. In the last five meetings, Levadia Tallinn II have won once, drawn twice, and lost twice. The most recent clash on May 11, 2026, ended 1-0 to JK Nomme Kalju 2 at their ground. However, at home, Levadia Tallinn II are unbeaten in the last three H2H encounters (1 win, 2 draws), including a 2-0 victory on March 7, 2026.

League Table Positions

Levadia Tallinn II sit 5th in the Esiliiga with 24 points from 19 matches (8 wins, 0 draws, 11 losses). JK Nomme Kalju 2 are 9th with 19 points from 18 games (5 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses). The home/away splits further highlight the gap: Levadia Tallinn II rank 2nd in the home table with 18 points from 12 games (6 wins, 6 losses), while JK Nomme Kalju 2 are 7th in the away table with just 7 points from 9 trips (2 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses).

Win Probability: Levadia Tallinn II or JK Nomme Kalju 2?

Using the bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Levadia Tallinn II win: 40%
• Draw: 30%
• JK Nomme Kalju 2 win: 30%

The initial odds implied a slight edge for the away side (around 39% for a JK Nomme Kalju 2 win), but Levadia Tallinn II's superior home form, higher league position, and unbeaten home H2H run tilt the balance in their favor. The draw remains a realistic outcome given the two draws in the last three H2H meetings at this venue.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match closely. The 1X2 odds range from 2.75 to 3.00 for a Levadia Tallinn II home win, 2.72 to 3.00 for the draw, and 2.20 to 2.30 for an away win. Based on the stats, Levadia Tallinn II appear to offer value as the home side, but the draw cannot be discounted. Our prediction: Levadia Tallinn II to win, with a draw as a sensible secondary betting tip.