Alvechurch - Leiston prediction 25 April 2026
Alvechurch
Leiston
Boldmere Saint MichaelsAlvechurchAlvechurchSolihull MoorsAlvechurchLeistonReal BedfordAlvechurchAlvechurchRoyston TownStourbridgeAlvechurchAlvechurchBarwellAFC SudburyAlvechurchAlvechurchSt Ives TownAlvechurchHarborough TownAlvechurchStamfordBishops StortfordAlvechurchKettering TownAlvechurchBanbury UnitedAlvechurchAlvechurchStourbridgeAveleyLeistonAlvechurchLeistonLeistonSpalding UnitedReal BedfordLeistonQuornLeistonLeistonBury TownRedditch UnitedLeistonLeistonBanbury UnitedLeistonWorcester CityStamfordLeistonLeistonStratford TownReal BedfordLeistonAFC SudburyLeistonLeistonBromsgrove SportingBarwellLeistonAlvechurchLeistonLeistonAlvechurchAlvechurchLeistonLeistonAlvechurchLeistonAlvechurchAlvechurchLeistonAlvechurchLeistonAlvechurchLeistonAlvechurchLeistonAlvechurchLeiston| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | +52 | 92 |
| 2 |  Farnham Town | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | +40 | 84 |
| 3 |  Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 93:51 | +42 | 83 |
| 4 |  Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | +30 | 75 |
| 5 |  Berkhamsted | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | +12 | 72 |
| 6 |  Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | +21 | 69 |
| 7 |  Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | +9 | 67 |
| 8 |  Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | -1 | 63 |
| 9 |  Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | +4 | 59 |
| 10 |  Havant & Wville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | +8 | 58 |
| 11 |  Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | -15 | 56 |
| 12 |  Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | -1 | 55 |
| 13 |  Yate Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | -5 | 52 |
| 14 |  Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | -6 | 52 |
| 15 |  Wimborne Town | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | +1 | 51 |
| 16 |  Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | -5 | 51 |
| 17 |  Basingstoke Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 |  Evesham United | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | -11 | 47 |
| 19 |  Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | -18 | 47 |
| 20 |  Dorchester Town | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | -31 | 40 |
| 21 |  Hungerford Town | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | -40 | 38 |
| 22 |  Tiverton Town | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | -76 | 18 |
Leiston vs Alvechurch Prediction (Apr 25, 2026)
Our Leiston vs Alvechurch prediction for the Southern League Premier Division match on Apr 25, 2026, at 14:00 kicks off with a clear favorite. Based on the latest team form and head-to-head record, Leiston has a 45% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 35% and Alvechurch has a 20% probability. This betting tips preview examines the stats that shape those numbers.
Team Form
Leiston come into this fixture in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last five outings with three wins and two draws. The sequence reads W, D, D, W, W. Most recently they beat Aveley 4-2 away in a friendly, followed by a 1-1 draw at Alvechurch, a 2-2 home draw with Spalding United, and back-to-back away wins over Real Bedford (1-0) and Quorn (2-1). Across those five matches, Leiston scored 10 goals and conceded 6, showing both firepower and occasional defensive lapses.
Alvechurch’s form is more mixed: D, D, L, W, D. Their latest result was a 1-1 home friendly draw with Solihull Moors. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home to Leiston, lost 3-2 at Real Bedford, beat Royston Town 1-0 at home, and drew 1-1 at Stourbridge. That’s one win, three draws, and one loss in the last five, with a three-match winless run in the league (D, L, D) before the friendly. The team has struggled to turn draws into victories, a pattern that heavily influences the win probability.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head between these two sides is a story of deadlocks. Excluding the upcoming fixture, the last four meetings have all ended in draws: 3-3 (Jan 2026), 1-1 (Mar 2025), 2-2 (Feb 2024), and 1-1 (Feb 2023). Looking further back, Alvechurch have won twice in the overall history, while Leiston are yet to register a win in this fixture. The draw is a constant theme – 7 of the previous 9 encounters finished level. That history makes the 35% draw probability a very realistic outcome.
Win Probability: Leiston or Alvechurch?
We calculate the win probability as follows: Leiston 45%, Draw 35%, Alvechurch 20%. These percentages are derived from the form guide, head-to-head record, and the home advantage Leiston enjoy. The hosts are unbeaten in five, playing at home, and have scored in every game during that run. Alvechurch, meanwhile, have only one win in their last five and have drawn four of their last six matches overall. The head-to-head draw bias pulls the draw probability up significantly. Without current odds to act as a base, we have weighted the recent momentum and home factor slightly more than the historical draw trend, resulting in Leiston as the most likely winner, but with a draw still a strong second possibility.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers’ odds for this match are not available at the time of writing. However, based on the stats, the smart money would lean towards a Leiston win or a draw. The prediction is Leiston to win, but with a high chance of a draw, making the double chance (Leiston or Draw) an attractive option if odds become available. Alvechurch’s away win probability is low, but they have a history of holding Leiston, so a small stake on the draw could also be considered.
Leiston vs Alvechurch — FAQ
- Who will win Leiston vs Alvechurch?
- Leiston are the most likely winners with a 45% chance. The draw is at 35%, and Alvechurch have a 20% chance of winning. This assessment is based on Leiston's unbeaten run and home advantage, balanced by a head-to-head record dominated by draws.
- What is the win probability for Leiston?
- Leiston have a 45% chance to win this match. Their strong recent form – three wins and two draws in the last five games – and the fact they are playing at home give them the edge over an Alvechurch side that has managed only one win in the same period.
- When is the Leiston vs Alvechurch match?
- The match is scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, at 14:00 UK time. It is a Southern League Premier Division fixture, the seventh tier of English football.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds for Leiston vs Alvechurch are not currently available. Once the bookmakers release their markets, the odds will reflect Leiston as the favorite, with a draw likely to be a short price given the history between these teams.
- What is the head-to-head record between Leiston and Alvechurch?
- The last four meetings have all ended in draws. Historically, Alvechurch have won two of the previous nine encounters, while Leiston are still searching for their first win in this fixture. Seven of those nine matches finished level.