Aurrera de Vitoria - Leioa prediction 21 March 2026
Aurrera de Vitoria
Leioa
Club PortugaleteAurrera de VitoriaAurrera de VitoriaCD San IgnacioDerioAurrera de VitoriaAurrera de VitoriaTouring KEAlaves CAurrera de VitoriaAurrera de VitoriaZarautz KEAurrera de VitoriaLeioaEibar CAurrera de VitoriaAurrera de VitoriaAnorga KKESCD DurangoAurrera de VitoriaAurrera de VitoriaUD AretxabaletaZamudioAurrera de VitoriaAurrera de VitoriaSanturtziReal Sociedad CAurrera de VitoriaAurrera de VitoriaPasaia KELeioaAthletic BilbaoAlbacete BLeioaLeioaAlbacete BLeioaDerioDerioLeioaLeioaTouring KETouring KELeioaLeioaLagun OnakSD DeustoLeioaLeioaClub PortugaleteCD San IgnacioLeioaLeioaDerioTouring KELeioaLeioaAlaves CAurrera de VitoriaLeioaAurrera de VitoriaLeioaLeioaAurrera de VitoriaAurrera de VitoriaLeioa| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arosa | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | +23 | 70 |
| 2 |  Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | +27 | 68 |
| 3 |  Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 |
| 4 |  CD Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | +13 | 53 |
| 5 |  Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | +7 | 52 |
| 6 |  CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | +16 | 51 |
| 7 |  Celta Vigo C | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | +15 | 51 |
| 8 |  Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | +5 | 51 |
| 9 |  Atletico Coruna Montaneros CF | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | +6 | 48 |
| 10 |  Polvorin FC (CD Lugo II) | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | +6 | 48 |
| 11 |  CD Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 46 |
| 12 |  Alondras CF | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 45 |
| 13 |  Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | -1 | 40 |
| 14 |  Viveiro CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 38 |
| 15 |  Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 |  Club Juventud Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | -19 | 26 |
| 17 |  CF Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 18 |  Barbadas | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | -44 | 19 |
Leioa vs Aurrera de Vitoria Prediction (Mar 21)
Leioa vs Aurrera de Vitoria prediction for the Tercera Federacion match on March 21, 2026. Based on recent form, head‑to‑head dominance, and home advantage, Leioa is the clear favorite with a 55% win probability. They face an Aurrera de Vitoria side that has struggled for consistency.
Team Form
Leioa’s last five results: L, W, W, W, L. Three wins in that run show solid home form, including a 1‑0 victory over Albacete B and a 1‑0 win against Derio. The two defeats came away at Albacete B (0‑2) and at home to Touring KE (1‑2).
Aurrera de Vitoria’s form reads W, L, D, L, D. They grabbed an away win at Club Portugalete (2‑1) but lost to CD San Ignacio (0‑1) and Touring KE (0‑2). Two draws against Derio and Alaves C underline their inconsistency.
Head‑to‑Head Record
Leioa have won all three previous meetings with Aurrera de Vitoria, scoring 6 goals and conceding just 1. The most recent H2H clash saw Leioa win 1‑0, while a 3‑0 home victory in November 2025 highlights their control. Aurrera have never beaten Leioa in their history.
League Table Positions
Neither team appears in the top 12 of the Tercera Federacion standings, meaning both are placed in the lower half of the table. This makes Leioa’s home advantage and superior H2H record even more decisive.
Win Probability: Leioa or Aurrera de Vitoria?
Leioa win – 55%
Draw – 25%
Aurrera de Vitoria win – 20%
Leioa’s home edge, three wins in their last four, and a perfect H2H record give them the highest chance. Aurrera’s two draws in five and only one win suggest they can frustrate, but an away victory looks unlikely. Our numbers reflect a 55‑25‑20 probability split, based on form, head‑to‑head, and home/away factor.
Odds & Match Prediction
No official odds are available for this fixture at the time of writing. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely install Leioa as the favorite. Our match prediction is a home win for Leioa, given their dominance when hosting Aurrera de Vitoria.
Leioa vs Aurrera de Vitoria — FAQ
- Who will win Leioa vs Aurrera de Vitoria?
- Leioa has a 55% chance of winning, a draw is at 25%, and Aurrera de Vitoria has a 20% chance. Leioa’s strong home form and all‑time H2H record make them the most likely winner.
- What is the win probability for Leioa?
- Leioa has a 55% win probability. This is based on their three victories in the last four matches, a perfect head‑to‑head record against Aurrera, and the advantage of playing at home.
- When is the Leioa vs Aurrera de Vitoria match?
- The match is on March 21, 2026, at 16:00 (UTC), in the Tercera Federacion league in Spain.
- What are the odds for Leioa vs Aurrera de Vitoria?
- Odds for this match are not currently available. Given Leioa’s form and head‑to‑head dominance they would be expected to be the bookmakers’ favorite.
- What is the head‑to‑head record between Leioa and Aurrera de Vitoria?
- Leioa have won all 3 previous meetings, with a combined score of 6‑1. Aurrera de Vitoria have never beaten Leioa.