Leiknir Reykjavik - Throttur Reykjavik prediction 23 July 2026

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik prediction for the 1st Division match on Jul 23, 2026, at 19:15. Throttur Reykjavik enters as the clear favorite with a 54% win probability, while Leiknir Reykjavik has a 22% chance and the draw sits at 24%.

Team Form

Leiknir Reykjavik's recent form has been poor: L, L, D, W, L in their last five matches. They lost 3-2 away to Afturelding on Jul 16, then fell 0-1 at home to Grotta on Jul 10. A 3-3 home draw against Volsungur on Jul 4 and a 2-1 home win over IR Reykjavik on Jun 26 were followed by a 0-1 away loss to Njardvik on Jun 19.

Throttur Reykjavik's form is mixed but stronger: W, D, L, D, W. They beat Volsungur 1-0 at home on Jul 18, drew 1-1 away at IR Reykjavik on Jul 10, lost 0-1 away to Njardvik on Jul 3, drew 1-1 at home with IF Vestri on Jun 27, and won 3-1 away at Aegir on Jun 21.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head, Leiknir Reykjavik leads with 16 wins, 4 draws, and 5 Throttur Reykjavik wins. Recent meetings show a trend of draws: the last four 1st Division clashes ended 1-1 (May 2026), 1-1 (Jul 2025), 1-1 (May 2025), and a 3-2 Leiknir win in Jul 2023. A League Cup match in Jan 2026 saw Throttur win 4-1 away.

League Table Positions

Throttur Reykjavik sits 3rd in the 1st Division with 27 points from 14 matches (8W, 3D, 3L, 27:14 goals). Leiknir Reykjavik is 8th with 19 points (5W, 4D, 5L, 19:19 goals). At home, Leiknir has 11 points from 7 games (3W, 2D, 2L, 10:9). Throttur's away record is 10 points from 6 games (3W, 1D, 2L, 13:8).

Win Probability: Leiknir Reykjavik or Throttur Reykjavik?

Based on odds, form, head-to-head, and league standings, the win probabilities are: Leiknir Reykjavik 22%, draw 24%, Throttur Reykjavik 54%. Bookmakers' odds imply a strong away favorite, and Throttur's superior league position and goal difference support that. However, Leiknir's home resilience and the frequent draws in recent H2H meetings slightly lift the home and draw chances. Throttur Reykjavik is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Current odds: Leiknir Reykjavik 4.35, draw 4.15, Throttur Reykjavik 1.55. Bookmakers see Throttur Reykjavik as the favorite. Considering the stats, a Throttur win is the most probable outcome, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the history. Our prediction: Throttur Reykjavik to win, with a low-scoring match possible.