Afturelding - Leiknir Reykjavik prediction 16 July 2026
Afturelding
Leiknir ReykjavikAftureldingLeiknir Reykjavik
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Afturelding | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | +21 | 28 |
| 2 |  Fylkir | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 |
| 3 |  HK Kopavogur | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 30:24 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Throttur Reykjavik | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:14 | +12 | 24 |
| 5 |  IF Vestri | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 |  Njardvik | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:15 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | Leiknir Reykjavik | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Grotta | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 23:27 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 |  UMF Grindavik | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 |  IR Reykjavik | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25:36 | -11 | 12 |
| 11 |  Volsungur | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17:33 | -16 | 8 |
| 12 |  Aegir | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18:36 | -18 | 8 |
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding Prediction (Jul 16)
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding prediction for the 1st Division match on Jul 16 at 19:15. Based on our analysis, Leiknir Reykjavik has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Afturelding has a 22% chance. Bookmakers see the home side as the clear favorite, but the league leaders will be no pushovers.
Team Form
Leiknir Reykjavik's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches they recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses (L, D, W, L, W). At home, they have a mixed record with three wins, two draws, and two losses from seven games, scoring 10 and conceding 9.
Afturelding, on the other hand, are flying high. They have won four of their last five (W, W, W, W, L), including an 8-1 thrashing of Aegir and a 6-1 away win at Volsungur. Their away form is the best in the division: five wins and two losses from seven trips, with 17 goals scored and only 7 conceded.
Head-to-Head Record
Leiknir Reykjavik lead the overall H2H with 7 wins to Afturelding's 5, plus 2 draws. However, recent meetings favour the visitors. Afturelding won the last encounter 3-0 at this very ground on May 08, 2026, and have taken three victories from the last five clashes. Leiknir's only win in that span was a 2-0 away success in August 2023.
League Table Positions
Afturelding sit top of the 1st Division with 28 points from 13 matches (9W, 1D, 3L). Leiknir Reykjavik are 7th with 19 points (5W, 4D, 4L). The gap is significant, and Afturelding's away record (1st, 15 points) contrasts sharply with Leiknir's home standing (7th, 11 points).
Win Probability: Leiknir Reykjavik or Afturelding?
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Leiknir Reykjavik 55%, draw 23%, Afturelding 22%. These figures start from the bookmaker odds (1.40, 4.65, 5.40), normalized to remove the margin, then adjusted for Afturelding's superior form, league position, and recent head-to-head dominance. While Leiknir remain favourites thanks to home advantage and market expectation, Afturelding's 22% chance reflects their genuine threat.
Odds & Match Prediction
The latest odds are: Leiknir Reykjavik 1.40, draw 4.65, Afturelding 5.40. Bookmakers see Leiknir as the strong favourite. Our prediction: Leiknir Reykjavik are the most likely winners, but the value may lie with the in-form visitors. Expect a competitive match where Afturelding's attacking quality could trouble the home defence.
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding — FAQ
- Who will win Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
- Leiknir Reykjavik have a 55% chance of winning, while Afturelding's chances stand at 22%. The draw probability is 23%. Leiknir are favourites, but Afturelding's strong form and top league position make them dangerous opponents.
- What is the win probability for Leiknir Reykjavik?
- Leiknir Reykjavik have a 55% probability of winning this match. This is based on bookmaker odds adjusted for recent form and head-to-head records, where Leiknir's home advantage gives them the edge despite Afturelding's higher league standing.
- When is the Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding match?
- The match is on Jul 16 at 19:15. It is an Iceland 1st Division fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds are: Leiknir Reykjavik 1.40, draw 4.65, Afturelding 5.40. These odds imply a strong home favourite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Leiknir Reykjavik and Afturelding?
- Leiknir Reykjavik have 7 wins, Afturelding have 5 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent meeting on May 08, 2026 ended in a 3-0 away win for Afturelding.