Leandro Niceforo Alem Reserves - CA Atlas Reserves prediction 14 July 2026

Leandro Niceforo Alem Reserves vs CA Atlas Reserves prediction for the Primera C Metropolitana Reserve match on Jul 14, 2026, at 14:00. Based on the stats, CA Atlas Reserves are the favorites with a 42% win probability, while Leandro Niceforo Alem Reserves have a 30% chance. The draw stands at 28%.

Team Form

Leandro Niceforo Alem Reserves come into this match with a poor run of form, recording one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches (L, W, L, L, D). Their most recent outing ended in a 3-0 away defeat to CSCyD Muniz Reserves on Jun 30. Before that, they secured a 3-2 home win over Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves on Jun 23. However, losses to Deportivo Espanol Reserves (2-1 on Jun 11) and Centro Espanol Reserves (1-3 on May 26) and a 1-1 draw with Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves on May 19 highlight their inconsistency. They have struggled to keep clean sheets and have only one win in five.

CA Atlas Reserves, on the other hand, are in strong form, unbeaten in their last five (W, D, W, W, D). They most recently beat CA Fenix Pilar Reserves 3-1 at home on Jul 08. A 1-1 draw with Centro Espanol Reserves on Jul 02 and a 2-1 away win at Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves on Jun 23 further underline their solid performances. They also thrashed Sportivo Barracas Reserves 4-0 on Jun 18 and drew 0-0 with Justo Jose Urquiza Reserves on Jun 11. With three wins and two draws, they have momentum and defensive solidity heading into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met twice before, with one win each and no draws. Interestingly, both victories came away from home. On May 22, 2025, CA Atlas Reserves won 1-0 at Leandro Niceforo Alem Reserves. Later, on Aug 26, 2025, Leandro Niceforo Alem Reserves returned the favor with a 3-0 away win. The head-to-head record offers no clear advantage for either team, making this encounter unpredictable.

Win Probability: Leandro Niceforo Alem Reserves or CA Atlas Reserves?

Based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Leandro Niceforo Alem Reserves have a 30% chance of winning, the draw stands at 28%, and CA Atlas Reserves have a 42% chance. The initial implied probabilities from the bookmaker odds (home 2.67, draw 3.13, away 2.54) gave the away side a slight edge at 36.2%, but after adjusting for CA Atlas Reserves' superior form—unbeaten in five matches—their chances increase to 42%. The home team's poor run (one win in five) reduces their likelihood. Therefore, CA Atlas Reserves are the more probable winners, but the draw remains a significant possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match closely. The best available odds show a home win at 2.67, a draw at 3.13, and an away win at 2.54. These odds indicate a slight preference for CA Atlas Reserves, which aligns with their stronger recent performances. Our prediction: based on the stats, CA Atlas Reserves are the favorites to win, but the draw is a realistic outcome given the balanced head-to-head record. A 1-0 or 2-1 away victory is a likely scenario, though a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.