Lealtad - Real Valladolid B prediction 12 April 2026

Our Lealtad vs Real Valladolid B prediction for the Segunda Federacion match on April 12, 2026, points to an away win for Real Valladolid B, with a 55% probability. The visitors come into this fixture in excellent form, while Lealtad have struggled for consistency. Below we break down all the key stats, head-to-head record, and win probabilities to help you make an informed betting decision.

Team Form

Lealtad's last five matches have produced just one win, alongside one draw and three defeats (L, D, L, L, W). Their most recent outing saw them lose 2-1 away to Salamanca CF UDS, and they have conceded at least two goals in four of those five games. At home, they managed a 2-2 draw with Coruxo but lost 3-2 to Real Valladolid B in this corresponding fixture.

Real Valladolid B, in contrast, are flying. Their last five results read W, W, W, W, L – four wins and a single loss. That defeat came against Bergantinos (3-4) on April 5, but they have since bounced back with three straight victories, scoring seven goals and conceding none. Away from home, they have won their last two on the road, including a 1-0 win at Deportivo La Coruna B.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides is evenly balanced, with Lealtad winning 1, Real Valladolid B winning 2, and 3 draws in their previous six meetings. The most recent clash before this match took place on October 12, 2025, when Real Valladolid B thrashed Lealtad 4-1 at home. That result, combined with the visitors' current momentum, gives them a psychological edge.

Win Probability: Lealtad or Real Valladolid B?

Based on the available data – recent form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage factor – we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Lealtad win: 20%
• Draw: 25%
• Real Valladolid B win: 55%

Real Valladolid B's strong form (four wins in five) and their convincing 4-1 victory in the last H2H encounter make them the clear favorites. Lealtad's home advantage could keep the game close, but their defensive frailties and poor recent results suggest an away win is the most likely outcome. The draw probability reflects the fact that three of the last six meetings have ended level, but current form points decisively toward the visitors.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not available in the data provided. However, based on the stats, Real Valladolid B are the team to back. Their attacking form and Lealtad's leaky defense point to an away win, possibly with over 2.5 total goals. Our final Lealtad vs Real Valladolid B prediction is an away victory for Real Valladolid B.