The Larissa vs Marko prediction for the Cup match on Sep 17, 2025 kicks off at 14:30 UTC. Larissa enters as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Marko has a 20% chance and the draw is at 25%.
Larissa's last five results: L, W, D, D, D. Their most recent outings in the Super League have been inconsistent, managing only one win and three draws in that stretch. The 3-2 loss to Kifisias on May 21 was a setback, but the 2-1 home win over Atromitos showed their capability.
Marko's form across the last five matches reads: D, W, W, L, D. Competing in Super League 2, they recorded two wins and two draws, but a 2-0 defeat at Kalamata on Mar 1 stands out as a poor result. They have been relatively solid otherwise.
The only previous meeting between these sides ended in a 2-2 draw. That Cup match took place on Sep 17, 2025, with Marko as the nominal home side. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Larissa, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Marko.
No league table data is available for this cup competition, but the difference in divisions is clear: Larissa plays in the Greek Super League, while Marko competes in the second-tier Super League 2. This gap in quality heavily influences the win probability.
Our calculated match outcome probabilities are: Larissa win โ 55%, draw โ 25%, Marko win โ 20%. These numbers are derived from the team form, the single head-to-head draw, and the significant advantage of a top-flight club at home against a lower-division side. No bookmaker odds are available to anchor the calculation, so the estimate is based purely on statistical indicators. Larissa is clearly the more likely winner, but the draw cannot be ruled out given both teams' recent tendency to share points.
At the time of writing, no odds have been released for this fixture. Our prediction, based on the available stats, points to a Larissa victory. They benefit from home advantage and play at a higher competitive level. However, Marko's form shows they are capable of picking up results on the road, so a tight contest is expected. The most likely outcomes are a narrow win for Larissa or a draw.