Hapoel Haifa - Larissa prediction 17 July 2025

The Larissa vs Hapoel Haifa prediction for this Friendly Clubs match on July 17, 2025, points to a closely contested affair. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Hapoel Haifa holds a slight edge with a 35% win probability, while a draw is also likely at 35%. Larissa enters as the home side but faces a tough challenge.

Team Form

Larissa's last five matches show a mixed run: one win, three draws, and one loss. They started with three consecutive draws — 1-1 at Panserraikos, 1-1 at home against Asteras Tripolis, and 1-1 at Panaitolikos — before beating Atromitos 2-1 at home. Their most recent outing was a 3-2 defeat at Kifisias. That loss snapped a four-game unbeaten streak, but the team has been hard to beat, with only one loss in five.

Hapoel Haifa's form is slightly stronger: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home with Ironi Tiberias and lost 2-0 at Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona, then bounced back with a 1-0 home win over FC Ashdod and a 1-1 draw at Maccabi Netanya. Their latest result was a dominant 3-0 home victory against Bnei Sakhnin. With two wins in the last three, they carry positive momentum into this friendly.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, also in a Friendly Clubs match. That encounter ended in a 0-0 draw, with neither team able to break the deadlock. The small sample size suggests a tight, low-scoring affair could be on the cards again.

Win Probability: Larissa or Hapoel Haifa?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Larissa 30%, Draw 35%, Hapoel Haifa 35%. The reasoning combines recent form, head-to-head history, and the home advantage for Larissa. Hapoel Haifa's slightly better results (two wins vs one) give them a marginal edge, but the high draw likelihood reflects both teams' tendency to share points — Larissa drew three of their last five, and Hapoel Haifa drew two. The only previous meeting was a stalemate. Home advantage typically adds about 5–10% to a team's chances, but Hapoel Haifa's superior form offsets that, leaving the draw as the most probable single outcome and Hapoel Haifa as the narrow favorite to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available in the data for this fixture. In such a balanced friendly, odds would likely be close to even, with a slight lean toward Hapoel Haifa or the draw. Based on the stats, the match is expected to be tight and possibly low-scoring. A draw or a narrow Hapoel Haifa win are the most realistic outcomes. Our prediction: a 1-1 draw or a 1-0 victory for the visitors.