Gicumbi - La Jeunesse prediction 11 February 2026

Rwanda ยท CupFinished
Gicumbi
3:1
Feb 11, 2026
FT
La Jeunesse
Match Info
CompetitionCup ยท Rwanda
Start dateFeb 11, 2026
Kick-off11:00
Recent Form
Gicumbi
L
W
L
W
L
La Jeunesse
L
L
W
L
L
Recent matches ยท Gicumbi
National LeagueMay 31
APR
Gicumbi
20
L
National LeagueMay 24
Gicumbi
Mukura
32
W
National LeagueMay 15
AS Kigali
Gicumbi
21
L
National LeagueMay 09
Gicumbi
Bugesera
21
W
National LeagueMay 05
Gasogi United
Gicumbi
31
L
National LeagueMay 02
Gicumbi
Al-Merrikh Omdurman
03
L
National LeagueApr 24
Gicumbi
Rutsiro FC
20
W
National LeagueApr 18
Gicumbi
AS Muhanga
20
W
National LeagueApr 04
Rayon Sports
Gicumbi
00
D
National LeagueMar 21
Gicumbi
Gorilla FC
01
L
National LeagueMar 16
Gicumbi
Police FC Rwanda
12
L
CupMar 06
Police FC Rwanda
Gicumbi
31
L
National LeagueMar 03
Al Hilal Omdurman
Gicumbi
50
L
National LeagueFeb 28
Kiyovu Sports
Gicumbi
11
D
National LeagueFeb 21
Etincelles
Gicumbi
11
D
Recent matches ยท La Jeunesse
Division 2Mar 21
Nkombo FC
La Jeunesse
32
L
Division 2Mar 14
La Jeunesse
Vision JN
02
L
Division 2Mar 07
Alpha FC
La Jeunesse
03
W
CupFeb 11
Gicumbi
La Jeunesse
31
L
CupFeb 04
La Jeunesse
Gicumbi
12
L
Division 2Jan 31
Addax
La Jeunesse
12
W
Division 2Jan 24
La Jeunesse
Intare FC
00
D
Division 2Jan 17
Motar FC
La Jeunesse
00
D
Division 2Dec 20
Nyanza
La Jeunesse
11
D
Division 2Dec 13
La Jeunesse
Nkombo FC
11
D
Division 2Dec 07
Vision JN
La Jeunesse
04
W
Division 2Nov 30
La Jeunesse
Alpha FC
20
W
Division 2Nov 09
La Jeunesse
Muhazi United/Rwamagana City
10
W
Division 2Oct 25
La Jeunesse
Addax
12
L
Division 2May 07
AS Muhanga
La Jeunesse
21
L
Odds
Full Time Result
Head-to-Head ยท summary
3
Gicumbi
2
Draws
0
La Jeunesse
Previous meetings
CupFeb 11
Gicumbi
La Jeunesse
31
CupFeb 04
La Jeunesse
Gicumbi
12
Division 2Apr 30
La Jeunesse
Gicumbi
02
Division 2Apr 20
Gicumbi
La Jeunesse
00
CupFeb 21
Gicumbi
La Jeunesse
00

La Jeunesse vs Gicumbi Prediction (Feb 11, 2026)

Our La Jeunesse vs Gicumbi prediction for the Rwanda Cup match on February 11, 2026, kicks off at 11:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Gicumbi enters as the favorite with a 55% chance of winning, while La Jeunesse has a 20% probability and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

La Jeunesse come into this fixture with a poor recent run, recording L, L, W, L, L in their last five matches. The only win was a 3-0 away victory at Alpha FC, but they suffered defeats against Nkombo FC, Vision JN, and two losses to Gicumbi in the Cup. Gicumbiโ€™s form is slightly better at L, W, L, W, L, alternating wins over Mukura and Bugesera with losses to APR, AS Kigali, and Gasogi United. Gicumbiโ€™s ability to score in wins and compete in a higher division (National League) gives them a subtle edge.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head numbers heavily favor the away team. In the last five meetings, the home side has won zero times, there have been two draws, and the away team has won three. La Jeunesse have hosted Gicumbi twice in this span, losing both 1-2 and 0-2. Gicumbiโ€™s away record against La Jeunesse is therefore perfect, and the overall trend suggests a strong away bias in this matchup.

Win Probability: La Jeunesse or Gicumbi?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: La Jeunesse win โ€“ 20%, draw โ€“ 25%, Gicumbi win โ€“ 55%. This estimation is built on the absence of bookmaker odds, so we rely entirely on statistical factors. Gicumbiโ€™s superior recent form (two wins in five vs. one), the clear head-to-head advantage (away teams winning 3 of 5, La Jeunesse zero home wins), and the fact that Gicumbi competes in the National League while La Jeunesse play in Division 2 all point to an away victory. The draw is a realistic possibility given the two stalemates in the history, but Gicumbi is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Currently, no bookmaker odds are available for this fixture. Without odds to compare, our prediction is based purely on the stats. The data suggests Gicumbi will be the likelier side to claim victory, making them the team to back if odds appear. The final score prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win, reflecting the head-to-head goal patterns and recent output from both sides.

La Jeunesse vs Gicumbi โ€” FAQ

Who will win La Jeunesse vs Gicumbi?
Gicumbi has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and La Jeunesse has a 20% chance. The away team is the clear favorite based on head-to-head record and recent form.
What is the win probability for Gicumbi?
Gicumbiโ€™s win probability is 55%. This is calculated from the teamโ€™s superior recent results, the head-to-head trend where the away side won 3 of the last 5 meetings, and the division gap between the two clubs.
When is the La Jeunesse vs Gicumbi match?
The match is scheduled for February 11, 2026, at 11:00 (UTC). It is a Cup competition match in Rwanda.
What are the odds for the match?
At this moment, odds are not available from bookmakers. If odds become available, Gicumbi is expected to be the favorite, while La Jeunesse would be the underdog.
What does the head-to-head record show?
In the last five head-to-head matches, the home team has never won, there have been 2 draws, and the away team has won 3 times. La Jeunesse have lost both home matches against Gicumbi in this period.
Gicumbi โ€“ La Jeunesse ยท match page