FC Jarfalla - Korsnas IF FK prediction 20 September 2025

The Korsnas IF FK vs FC Jarfalla prediction for the Division 2 match on Sep 20, 2025, points to an away win. Based on our analysis, FC Jarfalla has a 60% chance of winning, while Korsnas IF FK sits at 20% and the draw at 20%.

Team Form

Korsnas IF FK come into this match with poor form, recording 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 outings. They suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat at Bollstanas SK, lost 4-1 at home to Sunnersta AIF, and fell 2-1 at Falu. Their only positive result was a 3-1 win at Helges, but they followed that with a 1-0 home loss to Viggbyholms IK.

FC Jarfalla's recent form is slightly better, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5. They beat Umea FC 3-1 away, drew 1-1 at Hammarby Talang, but lost 2-0 at home to Arlanda in the Cup, 3-2 at home to Arlanda in the league, and a heavy 6-1 home defeat to IFK Stocksund. The away win at Umea shows they can perform on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors FC Jarfalla. In 3 previous meetings, FC Jarfalla has won all 3, with Korsnas IF FK yet to register a win or draw. The most recent clash before this one was in April 2025, where FC Jarfalla won 3-1 at Korsnas. The earlier meeting in September 2022 ended 1-0 to FC Jarfalla, also away. This dominance, especially on Korsnas' home turf, is a key factor in the prediction.

Win Probability: Korsnas IF FK or FC Jarfalla?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: FC Jarfalla 60%, Draw 20%, Korsnas IF FK 20%. These percentages are based on the available data—head-to-head record, recent form, and the home/away factor. FC Jarfalla's perfect H2H record (3 wins) and slightly better recent results (including an away win) give them a clear edge. Korsnas IF FK's home advantage has not helped in past meetings, and their current form (1 win in 5) does not inspire confidence. The draw is a realistic possibility given both teams' inconsistency, but the most likely outcome is an away victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not available in the data. However, based on the stats, FC Jarfalla would be priced as the clear favorite. Our prediction: FC Jarfalla to win. The head-to-head dominance and slightly superior form make the away side the best pick for this Division 2 encounter.