KoiPS - Loviisa prediction 12 September 2025

Our KoiPS vs Loviisa prediction for the Nelonen match on Sep 12, 2025, gives Loviisa a 40% chance of winning, with KoiPS at 30% and a 30% chance of a draw. The match kicks off at 16:15 UTC in Finland.

Team Form

KoiPS

KoiPS have lost four of their last five matches (L, L, W, L, L). Their only win in this run was a 3-1 home victory in a Cup match back in March 2024. Since then, they suffered a 0-4 defeat at Gnistan III and a 0-1 loss at FC POHU Helsinki. Home form is mixed: a 3-1 Cup win but also a 1-2 home loss in the Kolmonen earlier.

Loviisa

Loviisa’s recent form reads L, D, W, L, L. They managed one win and one draw in five outings. Notably, the win came away at KoiPS — a 2-1 result in August 2023. Defeats include a 2-5 loss at PuiU and a 0-5 home loss to PuiU, suggesting vulnerability.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before. On 26 August 2023, KoiPS hosted Loviisa in the Kolmonen. The away side won 2-1, giving Loviisa a perfect head-to-head record with 1 win and 0 losses. The only previous meeting suggests Loviisa knows how to get a result on this ground.

Win Probability: KoiPS or Loviisa?

Based on the available data — head-to-head, recent form, and home/away factor — we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: KoiPS win 30%, draw 30%, Loviisa win 40%. Loviisa’s slight edge comes from winning the only H2H encounter and a marginally better form string (including a draw). KoiPS’s home advantage is diminished by four losses in their last five matches overall. With no league table positions to influence the prediction, form and history tilt the scales toward the away team.

KoiPS vs Loviisa Prediction & Odds

No odds data is available in the provided information for this Nelonen fixture. Without bookmaker prices, we rely entirely on statistical analysis. Our match prediction, based on form and head-to-head records, is a Loviisa win. The 40% win probability suggests a close contest, with the draw (30%) also a live possibility.