Keflavik Women - Haukar Hafnarfjordur Women prediction 16 July 2026

Our Keflavik Women vs Haukar Hafnarfjordur Women prediction for the 1 Division Women match on Jul 16, 2026, at 19:15, points to a closely fought contest. Keflavik Women have a 40% win probability, with the draw and an away win for Haukar Hafnarfjordur Women each at 30%. Read on for detailed betting tips, odds, and head-to-head stats.

Team Form

Keflavik Women's last five matches: D L L W L. They drew 0-0 at home to Tindastoll Women on Jul 11, lost 0-1 at home to HK Kopavogur Women on Jun 21, lost 3-4 away to Grotta Women on Jun 13, beat Akranes Women 2-1 at home on May 30, and lost 1-3 away to Volsungur Women on May 25. Only one win and one clean sheet in that run.

Haukar Hafnarfjordur Women's last five: L D D W W. They lost 1-2 at home to Grotta Women on Jul 9, drew 1-1 away at KR Reykjavik Women on Jun 21, drew 1-1 at home to Volsungur Women on Jun 12, beat Selfoss Women 3-1 at home on May 25, and won 2-1 away at HK Kopavogur Women on May 20. They are unbeaten in four of five and have scored in every game.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record heavily favors Keflavik Women: 7 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. However, the most recent league meeting on Jul 1, 2025, ended in a 2-3 home defeat for Keflavik. In the last five meetings across all competitions, Keflavik won three, Haukar one, and one draw. The last Keflavik victory was 1-0 in September 2020.

Keflavik Women vs Haukar Hafnarfjordur Women Prediction: Win Probability

Using the inverse of the average odds (home 2.20, draw 2.74, away 2.54) and removing the bookmaker margin, the raw probabilities are 37.5% for a home win, 30.1% for a draw, and 32.5% for an away win. We then adjust for Keflavik's home advantage and historical H2H dominance, but also factor in Haukar's superior recent form. The final win probabilities are: Keflavik Women 40%, Draw 30%, Haukar Hafnarfjordur Women 30%. Keflavik are marginal favorites, but the match is too close to call with high confidence.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds. The average across the market is 2.20 for a Keflavik Women win, 2.74 for the draw, and 2.54 for Haukar Hafnarfjordur Women. Some bookies have a home win as short as 1.52 and an away win at 1.77. The draw odds range from 2.40 to 3.78. Our Keflavik Women vs Haukar Hafnarfjordur Women prediction: based on the stats, Keflavik have a slight edge, but the value may lie in the draw or a cautious play on the home side. A 1-1 scoreline is a plausible outcome.